Match Analysis: Krystian Kaszubowski vs Dawid Kuczmarski – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW Event Venue (exact location not specified)
Game Overview
Krystian Kaszubowski faces Dawid Kuczmarski in a welterweight main card KSW fight featuring contrasting styles: Kaszubowski with a striking and stand-up advantage versus Kuczmarski's strong grappling background.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kaszubowski has shown reliable striking and stand-up control in recent bouts, maintaining a consistent form. Kuczmarski excels in grappling and ground control but has slightly less finishing power from stand-up.
- No documented direct head-to-head matchup found, making recent form and style matchup the main analytic focus.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full health.
- Both fighters compete in KSW, a significant promotion providing a motivated platform. Weight and conditioning reported normal for match day.
- Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Kaszubowski may have marginally higher motivation due to recent wins and home crowd advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -135, away: -105 | Krystian Kaszubowski | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Kaszubowski -1.5 rounds: -150, Kuczmarski +1.5 rounds: +130 | Kaszubowski -1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: +120, Under 2.5 rounds: -140 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Krystian Kaszubowski 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Krystian Kaszubowski at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline prediction favors Krystian Kaszubowski due to stand-up control and consistency. Spread favors Kaszubowski to win by decision or stoppage within 3 rounds. Over/Under set with expectation of moderate fight length, favoring Under 2.5 rounds due to grappling battles potentially slowing pace.
Predicted Score: Kaszubowski wins by decision or TKO within 3 rounds