Match Analysis: Kamil Szkaradek vs Oleksii Polischuk – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW 112, Poland
Game Overview
Kamil Szkaradek faces Oleksii Polischuk in a bantamweight MMA bout at KSW 112. Both fighters are ranked in the KSW bantamweight division, with Polischuk favored by oddsmakers due to recent form and higher finish rate.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oleksii Polischuk has won 4 of his last 5 fights, all by finish (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission). Kamil Szkaradek is 2-2 in his last 4, with both losses coming against top-5 KSW bantamweights. Polischuk holds a significant edge in striking accuracy and takedown defense.
- No previous meetings between the two fighters.
- No public reports of injuries for either fighter. Both are listed as healthy and active.
- Polischuk is fighting outside his home country (Ukraine), but has competed in Poland before. Szkaradek has home crowd support, but recent Polish fighters have underperformed against international competition at KSW.
- Polischuk is seeking a top-3 KSW ranking with a win. Szkaradek is fighting to avoid a third loss in four fights and maintain relevance in the division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 115, away: -155 | Oleksii Polischuk | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: +1.5, away: -1.5 | Oleksii Polischuk -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 190, under: -230 | Over | β β β β β 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oleksii Polischuk 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Oleksii Polischuk at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oleksii Polischuk wins by finish (KO/TKO or submission) within three rounds.
Predicted Score: Oleksii Polischuk defeats Kamil Szkaradek via TKO in Round 2