Match Analysis: Lany Silva vs Charles Oliveira - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Rio
Game Overview
Charles Oliveira returns to Brazil to face Lany Silva in a lightweight bout. Oliveira is coming off a dominant submission win over Mateusz Gamrot, while Silva is a rising but unproven contender.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oliveira has shown elite grappling and finishing ability, submitting Gamrot in the second round. Silva has solid striking but lacks Oliveira's experience and submission prowess.
- No previous encounters between Silva and Oliveira.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Oliveira is undefeated in Brazil and enjoys strong home support. Silva is stepping up in competition for the first time.
- Oliveira is motivated to maintain his dominance in Brazil and position himself for another title shot. Silva is looking to make a statement against a top-tier opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -200, away: 150 | Charles Oliveira | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: +1.5, away: -1.5 | Charles Oliveira -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: Over 2.5 rounds, under: Under 2.5 rounds | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charles Oliveira 75% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charles Oliveira at 75% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charles Oliveira wins by submission in the second round.
Predicted Score: Charles Oliveira defeats Lany Silva via submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:12 of round 2.
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