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Joe Giannetti vs. Jose Ferreira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joe Giannetti vs Jose Ferreira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 14, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Foxwoods Resort Casino, Mashantucket, Connecticut, United States

Game Overview

LFA 222 lightweight bout featuring Joe Giannetti (17-7-1) against Jose Ferreira (13-2-0). This is a significant matchup between two experienced regional fighters. Giannetti is the slight underdog despite superior record depth, while Ferreira enters with a more impressive recent record and appears to be the bookmaker favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Giannetti holds a 17-7-1 record with 7 KO/TKOs, 10 submissions, and 2 decisions. His experience and submission prowess (10 finishes via submission) suggest a well-rounded striker/grappler. Ferreira sports a 13-2 record (no draws or NCs in significant losses) with 4 KO/TKOs, 3 submissions, and 2 decisions. Ferreira's 2-loss record is notably compressed, suggesting recent losses or a shorter active history, but his win rate (13-2) is marginally superior at 86.7% vs Giannetti's 70.3% when accounting for draws.
  • No prior head-to-head history available between these fighters. This is a fresh matchup with no direct competitive data.
  • No injury information available in the provided data.
  • Both fighters are competing at LFA 222, a regional promotion event. Giannetti weighs 166 lbs (75 kg) and Ferreira weighs 155.4 lbs (70.4 kg), suggesting Giannetti may have a slight size/strength advantage at lightweight despite both meeting weight requirements.
  • Both fighters are competing in a regional promotion, indicating moderate stakes. Ferreira's superior recent record (only 2 losses) may provide psychological confidence, while Giannetti's more extensive experience (17 wins, deeper resume) suggests composure and fight IQ advantages.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Giannetti +120 / Ferreira -160 Jose Ferreira ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jose Ferreira -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jose Ferreira at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jose Ferreira to win by decision or judges' scorecard. Ferreira's perfect 13-2 record with recent momentum, combined with bookmaker consensus and his defensive record (only 2 losses), suggests a fighter operating at peak form. Giannetti's submission-heavy style (10 of 17 wins) may be neutralized by Ferreira's calculated approach and defensive acumen.

Predicted Score: Jose Ferreira wins via Unanimous or Majority Decision (29-28, 30-27, or similar) after 3 rounds of competitive wrestling exchanges and measured striking. Fight goes the distance with no finish.


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Joe Giannetti vs. Jose Ferreira Prediction

Match Analysis: Joe Giannetti vs Jose Ferreira – Prediction Match Details Date: November 14, 2025 Time: 3:00 AM UTC Location: Foxwoods Resort Casino, Mashantucket, Connecticut, United States Game Overview LFA 222 lightweight bout featuring Joe Giannetti (17-7-1) against Jose Ferreira (13-2-0). This is a significant matchup between two experienced regional fighters. Giannetti is the slight […]

Joe Giannetti Jose Ferreira MMA/Boxing November 15, 2025

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Ednilson Santos vs. Scottie Stockman Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ednilson Santos vs Scottie Stockman – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: LFA 222

Game Overview

Ednilson Santos faces Scottie Stockman in a lightweight bout at LFA 222. Both fighters have extensive experience, with Santos holding a record of 13-7-1 and Stockman at 12-6-0. The matchup features a clash of styles, with Stockman known for his aggressive striking and Santos for his well-rounded approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santos has shown consistent performance with a mix of wins by KO/TKO, submission, and decision. Stockman has a higher number of KO/TKO wins, indicating a more aggressive style.
  • No previous encounters between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place at LFA 222, a venue known for hosting competitive matchups. Both fighters are in their prime, with Stockman at 31 years old and Santos with a wealth of experience.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a win to advance their careers and potentially attract attention from larger promotions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -170, away: 130 Scottie Stockman ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: +1.5, away: -1.5 Scottie Stockman -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: Over 2.5 rounds +126, under: Under 2.5 rounds -160 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Scottie Stockman 38%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Scottie Stockman at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Scottie Stockman to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Scottie Stockman wins by KO/TKO in round 2


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Vincius Pires vs. Artem Belakh Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Vincius Pires vs Artem Belakh – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 14-15, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Mashantucket, Connecticut

Game Overview

LFA 222 Bantamweight Championship title fight between undefeated prospect Vinicius Pires (11-1) and Artem Belakh (10-2). This is a 5-round championship bout at 135 lbs. Pires is a heavy favorite at -250 moneyline, reflecting his superior record and recent form. Belakh is making his LFA debut after being released from another promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pires enters with an 11-1 record and is significantly favored. He is an aggressive volume striker with kicks at all levels but has weak wrestling. Belakh carries a 10-2 record and poor striking defense with durability concerns from significant weight cuts. Pires maintains superior cardio, a critical advantage in a 5-round title fight.
  • No previous head-to-head history between these fighters. This is their first matchup.
  • No injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Belakh is fighting in the LFA for the first time after being released, indicating he may be rebuilding his career. The 5-round championship format favors Pires' superior cardio. Belakh's poor weight cut conditioning becomes increasingly problematic over extended rounds.
  • Pires is fighting for a title with momentum as an undefeated prospect. Belakh faces significant pressure as a newcomer to LFA competing in a championship bout, which may disadvantage him psychologically.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pires -250 / Belakh +185 Vinicius Pires ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120 / Under 2.5 rounds -155 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vinicius Pires wins by decision. The 5-round format, Pires' superior cardio, aggressive striking volume, and Belakh's durability concerns create a scenario where Pires controls 3-4 rounds en route to a clear decision victory.

Predicted Score: Vinicius Pires by Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45) – Fight extends to decision with Pires dominating the striking exchanges across all five rounds, utilizing superior cardio and volume striking to outlast Belakh.


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Regivaldo Carvalho vs. Gustavo Pintos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Regivaldo Carvalho vs Gustavo Pintos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Foxwoods Resort Casino, Mashantucket, Connecticut, United States

Game Overview

Featherweight bout between Regivaldo Carvalho and Gustavo Pintos at LFA 222. Carvalho is coming off a break which may affect his fitness and competitive edge. Pintos holds a recent winning streak and slight physical advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Carvalho has a mixed recent form with a break leading to potential loss in fitness. Pintos has momentum with a winning streak and a slightly higher form rating.
  • No direct recent H2H data available, but predictions favor Carvalho by method distribution while Pintos shows consistent KO and decision capabilities.
  • No major reported injuries on either side, but Carvalho's break suggests possible ring rust rather than injury concerns.
  • The fight takes place in the US at a neutral venue. No significant external factors like travel or altitude advantage reported.
  • Pintos appears highly motivated to continue his winning streak, whereas Carvalho's motivation could be impacted by his time off and potential fitness loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +125, away: -165 Gustavo Pintos ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: +1.5 110, away: -1.5 -130 Gustavo Pintos -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: 105, under: -135 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gustavo Pintos -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gustavo Pintos to win by KO

Predicted Score: Pintos by KO in Round 2


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Nathan Ghareeb vs. Josh Harvey Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nathan Ghareeb vs Josh Harvey – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: LFA 222

Game Overview

Nathan Ghareeb faces Josh Harvey in a pivotal matchup at LFA 222. Ghareeb is the heavy favorite, with odds reflecting his perceived dominance over Harvey, who is a significant underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nathan Ghareeb has shown consistent dominance in recent fights, with a strong record and high finishing rate. Josh Harvey has struggled against higher-level competition, with recent losses and limited offensive output.
  • No previous meetings between Ghareeb and Harvey. Ghareeb’s style and experience give him a clear edge over Harvey’s less proven track record.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter. Both are expected to be at full strength.
  • Ghareeb is favored by all major sportsbooks, with odds as low as -1000, indicating strong market confidence. Harvey’s odds are as high as +550, reflecting his underdog status.
  • Ghareeb is motivated to maintain his winning streak and secure a top ranking. Harvey is fighting for a breakthrough performance and to prove himself against a top-tier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1000, away: 550 Nathan Ghareeb ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -1.5, away: +1.5 Nathan Ghareeb -1.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 130, under: -170 Over 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nathan Ghareeb -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nathan Ghareeb to win by decision or submission, likely dominating the fight and controlling the pace.

Predicted Score: Nathan Ghareeb wins by submission in round 2


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Aline Pereira vs. Nejra Repp Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Aline Pereira vs Nejra Repp – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: LFA 222: Pires vs Belakh

Game Overview

Aline Pereira faces Nejra Repp in a flyweight bout at LFA 222. Both fighters are active in the regional MMA scene, with Pereira having a strong background in Karate Combat and Repp showing a balanced record with notable knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aline Pereira has a dominant record in Karate Combat but limited experience in professional MMA tournaments. Nejra Repp has a more balanced MMA record with a higher proportion of wins by KO and decision, indicating well-rounded skills.
  • No previous encounters between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Pereira may face a possible loss of fitness and competitive tone due to a break between fights. Repp appears to be more active and experienced in professional MMA settings.
  • Both fighters are motivated to prove themselves in a high-profile regional event, but Repp's recent activity and experience may give her an edge in motivation and readiness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -185, away: 140 Nejra Repp ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: -190, under: 145 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nejra Repp 44%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nejra Repp at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nejra Repp is predicted to win by decision, leveraging her experience and recent activity to outperform Pereira, who may struggle with fitness and competitive tone after a break.

Predicted Score: Nejra Repp wins by decision after three rounds


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Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0) faces Randy Brown (20-6-0) in a welterweight main event at UFC Vegas 111. Bonfim is a rising submission threat with elite grappling, while Brown is a veteran with strong striking and cardio. Bonfim is favored by bookmakers, but Brown’s experience and reach could make this competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bonfim has won 10 straight, including a split decision over Stephen in his last outing. Brown has gone 3-2 in his last five, with losses to top-tier competition. Bonfim’s recent form is superior, but Brown’s losses came against higher-ranked fighters.
  • No previous meetings between Bonfim and Brown.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Bonfim is 35, Brown is 28. Bonfim has a reach disadvantage (72.5” vs 78”), but higher takedown and submission averages. Brown has a slight edge in striking accuracy and volume.
  • Bonfim is on a long win streak and looking to solidify his status as a top welterweight. Brown is motivated to rebound after recent losses and prove he still belongs in the upper tier.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -170, away: 142 Gabriel Bonfim ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -13.5, away: 13.5 Gabriel Bonfim -13.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -135, under: 105 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriel Bonfim -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gabriel Bonfim wins by submission in the second round.

Predicted Score: Gabriel Bonfim defeats Randy Brown via submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:12 of Round 2


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Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Top-15 UFC flyweight Matt Schnell (17-9, 1 NC) and Joseph Morales (14-2) meet at UFC Vegas 111 in a pivotal matchup for the division. Schnell is a veteran, high-volume striker with submission savvy but recent durability questions, while Morales is younger, improving, and excels in scrambling and submission hunting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Schnell is the more active striker (4.13 significant strikes/minute vs. Morales' 2.02), but has lost all seven UFC fights by stoppage; Morales is on a run of strong form, averaging nearly 3 submission attempts per fight, and has shown superior durability and finishing instincts.
  • No direct H2H, but Morales' grappling and scrambling are stylistically troublesome for Schnell, who has been susceptible to being worn down and finished.
  • No recent injury concerns reported for either fighter.
  • Card placement is pre-lim at UFC Apex; no crowd or travel concerns. Morales is younger and likely fresher; Schnell is 35, potentially nearing the tail of his prime.
  • Morales is rising, motivated to climb the division; Schnell is fighting to avoid a potential release after going 1-3 in last 4, with all losses by stoppage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joseph Morales -425 / Matt Schnell +330 Joseph Morales wins ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Joseph Morales -7.5 (-165) / Matt Schnell +7.5 (+120) Joseph Morales (-7.5) covers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 (-175) / Under 1.5 (+135) Over 1.5 rounds hits ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joseph Morales -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joseph Morales' superior durability, superior finishing threat, and momentum will see him break through Schnell's early activity, dominate the scrambles, and either submit or outwork Schnell late for a clear decision.

Predicted Score: We project a competitive (possibly back-and-forth) opening but for Morales to wear Schnell down and win in the 2nd half of the fight, likely by submission, or a clear 29-28/30-27 decision.


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Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Chris Padilla and Ismael Bonfim at UFC Vegas 111, featuring two orthodox fighters with Padilla slightly taller and longer wingspan. Both have aggressive styles but Bonfim is a -198 favorite on moneyline with strong striking accuracy and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Padilla is 16-6 with a gritty, pressure fighting style leading to 16 of 22 fights ending inside the distance. Bonfim is 20-5 with higher significant strike output and defense. Padilla is more aggressive and finishes fights inside distance whereas Bonfim has more consistent striking defense and accuracy.
  • No previous direct matchups between Padilla and Bonfim recorded.
  • Bonfim recently suffered a first knockout loss in his 14-year career, which may impact confidence and risk taking. Padilla has no reported recent injuries.
  • Fight at UFC Apex in Las Vegas with no notable external disruptions; Padilla an underdog with strong mental fortitude having won UFC fights as an underdog previously.
  • Padilla eager to continue exceeding expectations, coming off a string of UFC underdog wins, highly motivated to sustain momentum. Bonfim likely motivated to rebound from recent KO loss but may fight more cautiously.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Padilla: +164, Ismael Bonfim: -198 Ismael Bonfim ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Chris Padilla +3.5: -135, Ismael Bonfim -3.5: 100 Ismael Bonfim -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -125, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ismael Bonfim -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ismael Bonfim moneyline win

Predicted Score: Ismael Bonfim wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Marco Tulio Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Christian Leroy Duncan faces Marco Tulio Silva in a Middleweight bout on the main card of UFC Vegas 111. Duncan is a tall, switch-hitting striker with knockout power, while Silva is a resilient, high-volume striker with strong grappling defense. The fight is a clash of styles, with Duncan's aggression and Silva's durability and counter-striking.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Duncan has shown marked improvement, finishing Eryk Anders in August with a dominant striking display. Silva is undefeated (14-1) and lands at a high rate (7.54 sig strikes/min) but has never faced a fighter with Duncan's reach and power. Duncan lands 4.83 sig strikes/min and defends 51% of strikes, while Silva defends 61% but absorbs more volume.
  • No prior H2H matchup exists between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place in Las Vegas, neutral site. Both fighters are in their prime (Duncan 30, Silva 31). No weather or travel issues.
  • Duncan is on a two-fight win streak and looking to break into the upper tier. Silva is undefeated in the UFC and motivated to maintain his record and climb the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 154, away: -185 Marco Tulio Silva Not available
Spread home: 3.5 -135, away: -3.5 100 Marco Tulio Silva -3.5 Not available
Over/under over: 2.5 -125, under: 2.5 -105 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marco Tulio Silva -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marco Tulio Silva wins by decision. Silva's high-volume striking and superior defense will neutralize Duncan's aggression over three rounds. Duncan's knockout power is a threat, but Silva's resilience and ability to absorb and return fire make him the safer pick for a decision victory.

Predicted Score: Marco Tulio Silva wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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