Match Analysis: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 2:40 AM UTC
- Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio
Game Overview
The San Antonio Spurs (8-3) host the Golden State Warriors (7-6) in a highly anticipated NBA matchup featuring two top scorers: Victor Wembanyama (26.2 PPG) and Stephen Curry (27.1 PPG). The Spurs are slight favorites on the moneyline and spread, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and contrasting recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Spurs hold an 8-3 record with 3-5-3 ATS this season, showing stronger home performance. Warriors are 7-6 overall, 6-7 ATS, with a strong home ATS record (4-0-1) but poor road ATS (2-6). Spurs score an average home points of ~122, Warriors average road points of ~112, reflecting home offensive advantage.
- Historically, Warriors lead the series 36-30. Recent encounters have been competitive with the last game ending Warriors 114 – Spurs 111. Warriors cover the +10.5 spread in 11 consecutive road meetings. Both teams tend to score over 110.5 points in most head-to-head games, signaling high scoring potential.
- No major injuries reported impacting key players on either side, both Victor Wembanyama and Stephen Curry expected to play.
- Game played at Spurs' home venue, which favors Spurs by a slight margin. Public betting leans towards Spurs (69% bets), showing confidence in home favorites.
- Spurs are looking to build on their strong start at home; Warriors eager to recover from recent away losses and reinforce their standing. Both teams motivated with star players in form, expecting high intensity.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Antonio Spurs -135, Golden State Warriors +114 | San Antonio Spurs | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | San Antonio Spurs -2.5 (-105), Golden State Warriors +2.5 (-115) | San Antonio Spurs -2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 235.5 (-110), Under 235.5 (-110) | Over 235.5 | β β β ββ 63% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Antonio Spurs 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 235.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 235.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Antonio Spurs to win straight up, cover the -2.5 spread, and the game to go over 235.5 points.
Predicted Score: San Antonio Spurs 121 – Golden State Warriors 114