Match Analysis: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano vs Olympiacos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Unipol Forum, Milan
Game Overview
Eurolague matchup between Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano and Olympiacos features two strong teams with Olympiacos holding a recent upper hand in H2H and better recent form, while Milano plays at home with motivation to break their losing streak against Olympiacos.
Key Factors to Consider
- Olympiacos shows superior recent form with convincing wins including a 95-78 victory over Zalgiris Kaunas and good momentum in Euroleague matches. Olimpia Milano has mixed results recently but remains competitive at home.
- Olympiacos leads H2H with 20 wins (69%) vs. Milano's 9 wins (31%) and has won the last three EuroLeague encounters, including a close 84-83 victory last December.
- Olympiacos will be without key players Zach LeDay and Lorenzo Brown, which may slightly weaken their depth. No significant injury reports for Milano, giving them a slight edge in full squad availability.
- Home crowd support at Unipol Forum benefits Milano; traveling factors and schedule are normal with no apparent external disruptions.
- Milano highly motivated to upset Olympiacos at home to end their recent losing streak against this opponent and improve standing in Euroleague. Olympiacos motivated to maintain dominance and capitalize on current strong form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Olympiacos: -200, Olimpia Milano: 160 | Olympiacos | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Olympiacos -4.5: -110, Olimpia Milano +4.5: -113 | Olimpia Milano +4.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 165: -109, Under 165: -114 | Under 165 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Olympiacos 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 165 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 165 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Olympiacos moneyline, as their stronger recent form and dominance in H2H outweigh home advantage; take Milano +4.5 for spread to mitigate risk given Olympiacos' injury concerns; expect a moderately paced game leaning slightly under 165 points.
Predicted Score: Olympiacos 82 – 77 Olimpia Milano