Match Analysis: Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ
Game Overview
The Phoenix Suns (7-5) host the Indiana Pacers (1-10) with the Suns favored both on the moneyline and spread. The Suns are currently on a four-game winning streak and have a strong home record, while the Pacers struggle with a long losing streak and poor road performance, particularly against Western Conference teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Suns have won all five games as favorites and covered the spread in four straight games, scoring an average of 117.3 points. The Pacers have lost 10 straight games overall and have a 0-6 road record, especially struggling against Western Conference opponents.
- Although the Pacers have a recent 2-0 record against the Suns and 2-0 ATS versus Phoenix, the Suns have covered their last four games and hold the home advantage for this matchup.
- Key Pacers players including Kam Jones remain out with lower back injury and other lineup uncertainties. Suns have no significant reported injuries affecting starters.
- Phoenix's strong home court advantage and rest situation favors the Suns, as the Pacers maintain a poor track record on the road against winning teams, while the Suns have demonstrated solid performances at home.
- Suns are motivated to extend their winning streak and solidify their standing, while the Pacers seek to break their losing skid but face confidence and matchup challenges.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns: -180, Indiana Pacers: +152 | Phoenix Suns | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Phoenix Suns: -110, Indiana Pacers: -110 | Phoenix Suns -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Under 234.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 234.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 234.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Phoenix Suns to win straight up on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the game to go under the total points line of 234.5.
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 119 – Indiana Pacers 108
