Match Analysis: West Virginia Mountaineers vs Pittsburgh Panthers - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: WVU Coliseum
Game Overview
West Virginia hosts Pittsburgh in a heated rivalry matchup, both teams entering 3-0. The Mountaineers are favored at home, with a strong defensive identity and a slight edge in recent form. Pittsburgh is methodical offensively and solid defensively, but faces a tough environment.
Key Factors to Consider
- West Virginia is 3-0 with a top-55 defensive efficiency, holding opponents to 36.3% shooting. Pittsburgh is 3-0, averaging 76.7 PPG and allowing 61.7 PPG, but plays at a very slow tempo (313th in tempo).
- West Virginia leads the all-time series 101-90 and has won 6 of the last 8 meetings, but Pittsburgh has won the last two, including a dominant 86-62 win last season.
- No major injuries reported for either team, but Pittsburgh's Cummings is questionable and his absence would hurt their offensive flow.
- West Virginia is at home, where they are historically tough. The game is a rivalry, increasing intensity. The total has gone under in all of West Virginia's last 3 games.
- West Virginia is seeking revenge after two straight losses to Pittsburgh. Both teams are undefeated and motivated to maintain momentum early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -275 | West Virginia Mountaineers | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | -5.5 -110 | West Virginia Mountaineers -5.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | 134.5 -105/-115 | Under 134.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | West Virginia Mountaineers 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 134.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 134.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
West Virginia wins a low-scoring, defensive battle, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total.
Predicted Score: West Virginia 70, Pittsburgh 60
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