Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Movistar Arena
Game Overview
Real Madrid hosts Panathinaikos in a Euroleague matchup with both teams coming off recent wins. Real Madrid is favored at home, but Panathinaikos has shown resilience in recent head-to-head meetings and is playing with momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 5 games, averaging 90.2 points per game and allowing 82.2. Panathinaikos has won 4 of their last 5, averaging 83.0 points but allowing 88.0. Madridβs offense is more consistent, while Panathinaikos has struggled defensively.
- In the last 5 meetings, Panathinaikos has won 3, including a 85-70 win in March 2025. Overall, Real Madrid leads the all-time H2H 25-12, but Panathinaikos has won 4 of the last 5 matchups. Recent form favors Panathinaikos, but Madridβs long-term dominance is clear.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Real Madrid is at home, which historically gives them an edge. Panathinaikos is on the road but has shown the ability to compete in hostile environments.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning. Real Madrid is aiming to solidify their top spot, while Panathinaikos is looking to close the gap and gain momentum for the postseason.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -240, away: 185 | Real Madrid | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -5.5, away: 5.5 | Panathinaikos +5.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 171, under: 171 | Over 171 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Madrid -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 171 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 171 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Madrid will win a close game, but Panathinaikos will cover the spread. The total points will likely go over.
Predicted Score: 88-84