Match Analysis: Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Game Overview
The Atlanta Hawks visit the Sacramento Kings with a solid recent form advantage, both teams showing contrasting trends in defense and offense. The Hawks, at 6-5, hold better momentum with recent wins and a favorable road record, while the Kings struggle at 3-8 with defensive deficiencies.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atlanta Hawks have a 6-5 record, showing improving defense and effective recent form (two wins in their last two games). Sacramento Kings are 3-8, with a 3-game losing streak and poor defensive stats, allowing over 123 points per game and an average of 135.3 in recent losses.
- Historically, Hawks have outperformed Kings on the road and have had wins covering spreads in recent matchups. The Hawks have a stronger crown in direct matchups this season.
- No significant injuries impacting core rotation reported for Hawks or Kings. Dyson Daniels leads assists for Hawks and key contributors like Trae Young and Kristaps Porzingis are active.
- Kings are playing the second leg of back-to-back games, possibly impacting their stamina and performance. Hawks have momentum traveling on a Western Conference road trip and have been controlling pace effectively.
- Hawks are motivated to build winning momentum on the road and improve conference standing, while Kings strive to break their losing streak and recover home performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -166 | Atlanta Hawks | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | -108 | Atlanta Hawks -4 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | -112 | Under 233.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta Hawks -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 233.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 233.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlanta Hawks moneyline win
Predicted Score: Atlanta Hawks 125 – Sacramento Kings 114