Match Analysis: San Francisco Dons vs Portland St Vikings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: War Memorial at the Sobrato Center
Game Overview
San Francisco Dons host Portland State Vikings in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter 1-1, with Portland State coming off a blowout win over a weak opponent and San Francisco suffering a road loss to Memphis. The Dons are strong defensively and at home, while Portland State boasts a high-powered offense but suspect defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Francisco is allowing just 64.5 points per game and shooting 47.6% from the field. Portland State is averaging 100.5 points per game but allowing 81.5 points per game. San Francisco's defense is elite, while Portland State's offense is explosive but their defense is vulnerable.
- San Francisco has a strong recent home record (18-1 SU in last 19 home games). The last meeting was a close game in 2016, but recent form and home advantage favor the Dons.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- San Francisco is playing at home, where they have dominated recently. Portland State is on the road, facing a much tougher opponent than their previous game.
- San Francisco is looking to bounce back from a loss and prove themselves against a team with a high-powered offense. Portland State is motivated to prove they can compete with stronger competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -700 | San Francisco Dons | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | -11.5 -105 | San Francisco Dons -11.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | 152.5 -112 | Under 152.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Francisco Dons 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 152.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Dons will win and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total.
Predicted Score: San Francisco 78, Portland State 65