Match Analysis: Manhattan Jaspers vs Utah Tech Trailblazers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Neutral site, Honolulu, HI
Game Overview
The Manhattan Jaspers (1-1) face the Utah Tech Trailblazers (2-2) in a neutral-site matchup in Honolulu. Manhattan boasts a highly efficient offense averaging 104.0 points per game with strong shooting percentages, highlighted by 35.8% from three and 79.1% at the free throw line. Utah Tech is less efficient offensively, scoring 81.0 points per game, shooting 44.2% from the floor, and struggling defensively by allowing 79.5 points per game. The Trailblazers have a longer roster and defensive issues allowing high scoring. Line favors Utah Tech moneyline at -180 and spread -4.5, with total set at 155.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Manhattan is statistically superior offensively and more efficient from shooting and free throw lines, ranking 16th nationally in scoring and 50% shooting. Utah Tech is average offensively but ranks poorly in defensive metrics, allowing 79.5 points and 43.1% shooting.
- No recent direct matchups available; team styles suggest Manhattanβs efficient offense may exploit Utah Techβs defensive vulnerabilities.
- No major injuries reported for either team; Utah Techβs Brett Rumpel questionable with a knee injury but status unclear.
- Neutral site in Honolulu may slightly favor teams with better offensive rhythm and stamina. No weather or travel issues noted.
- Utah Tech slightly favored in records (2-2 vs 1-1) but Manhattan demonstrated bounce back potential after a heavy USC loss. Both teams motivated to assert early season momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Tech -180, Manhattan +150 | Utah Tech | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Manhattan +4.5 (-115), Utah Tech -4.5 (-105) | Manhattan +4.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 155.5 -110, Under 155.5 -110 | Under 155.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Tech Trailblazers -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Tech Trailblazers to win on moneyline, but Manhattan to cover the spread due to offensive efficiency. Total points expected to go under 155.5 based on Utah Techβs recent games with lower total scores.
Predicted Score: Utah Tech 78 – Manhattan 74