Match Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs Weber State Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, Utah
Game Overview
The Utah State Aggies (2-0) host the Weber State Wildcats (1-1) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Utah State enters undefeated and dominant at home, while Weber State seeks to rebound from a recent loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah State averages a strong 190 points scored per game and allows only 131 on defense, showing both offensive firepower and defensive stability. Weber State scores 109.5 PPG but has shown vulnerabilities on defense, allowing 130 points. Utah State is 2-0 at home this season with two wins, including a close 80-77 victory over VCU.
- Historically, Utah State holds a significant advantage especially at home, having won 36 of their last 39 home games against non-ranked non-conference teams. Weber State narrowly won their last head-to-head but recently lost to Utah 92-89 in overtime.
- No significant injury reports available for either team, suggesting both squads will be close to full strength.
- The game is played at Utah State's Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, where they have an overwhelming home-court advantage. Travel and schedule do not appear to negatively impact Utah State.
- Utah State is motivated to maintain a perfect season start (3-0) with a home win. Weber State looks to rebound after an overtime loss and avoid an 0-2 start on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah State -4500, Weber State +1600 | Utah State Aggies | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Utah State -20.5 (-110), Weber State +20.5 (-110) | Utah State Aggies -20.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 154.5 (-110), Under 154.5 (-110) | Under 154.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah State Aggies -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah State Aggies win comfortably on the moneyline, cover the 20.5-point spread, and the total score will go under 154.5 points.
Predicted Score: Utah State Aggies 83 – Weber State Wildcats 62