Match Analysis: Calgary Wranglers vs Ontario Reign – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB
Game Overview
The Calgary Wranglers host the Ontario Reign in a Pacific Division AHL matchup. Both teams are competitive in the 2025-26 season, with Ontario holding a slight edge in recent form and head-to-head momentum. This game is part of a short homestand for Calgary and continues Ontario's strong recent performance away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ontario Reign are 7-4-1 with a strong recent stretch, including two overtime wins in three games. Calgary Wranglers are 6-4-2, with comparable performance but more games decided by a one-goal margin. Ontario has a knack for avoiding back-to-back losses and consistently scores multiple goals.
- This is the first of at least four meetings this season; initial matchups show Ontario outperforming slightly, with recent results favoring them by narrow margins. Close contests are typical, reflecting a tightly matched rivalry.
- No significant injuries reported for either side that would affect starting lineups or goaltending depth at this time.
- Calgary is playing at home but is in the middle of a dense game schedule with many upcoming road games, which may affect energy levels. Ontario is on short rest from recent games but has shown resilience and strong road form.
- Ontario aims to build on their winning streak and maintain their no back-to-back loss record, while Calgary is motivated to capitalize on home ice advantage during this homestand and secure division points.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home: -105, Away: -139 | Ontario Reign | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Calgary +1.5: -275, Ontario -1.5: +190 | Ontario Reign -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -117, Under 5.5: -117 | Over 5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ontario Reign -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ontario Reign Moneyline
Predicted Score: Ontario Reign 4 – Calgary Wranglers 2