Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Game Overview
The Missouri Tigers (3-0) engage the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-0) at home. Missouri is favored both by form and betting lines, with a strong recent winning streak and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri has won its last five games, including dominant recent performances scoring over 130 points in all last month matches, with a strong offense and solid defense. Minnesota is unbeaten in 2 games this season with explosive scoring but fewer games played overall. Both teams frequently exceed 150 combined points.
- Missouri leads recent head-to-head, winning the sole recent meeting in November 2023 by 2 points as an away team. Historically, Missouri holds a slight edge at 1-0 in the last three seasons.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting core starters, implying lineups are near full strength for tonightβs game.
- The game is played at Missouriβs strong home venue (Mizzou Arena). The environment favors Missouri, which historically performs better at home.
- Missouri is on a three-game winning streak to start the season, motivated to continue dominance at home. Minnesota aims to establish itself early in the season, but Missouriβs motivation is heightened by home crowd and undefeated record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota Golden Gophers: 310, Missouri Tigers: -400 | Missouri Tigers | β β β β β 80% |
| Spread | Minnesota Golden Gophers: -102, Missouri Tigers: -120 | Missouri Tigers -7.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: -115, Under: -105 | Over 156.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 156.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri Tigers to win on moneyline, cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to go over 156.5 points.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 82 – Minnesota Golden Gophers 75