Match Analysis: Texas Longhorns vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Moody Center, Austin, TX
Game Overview
The Texas Longhorns (1-1) host the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (0-2) with Texas coming off a strong 97-60 home win and Fairleigh Dickinson recently losing 93-83 on the road. Texas's offense is significantly more potent, averaging 78.5 points per game versus the Knights' 66.5, and their defense is also stronger, allowing just 67.5 PPG compared to Fairleigh Dickinson's 90.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas shows stronger offensive efficiency and rebounding (especially Matas Vokietaitis with 14.5 PPG, 9.5 RPG). Fairleigh Dickinson struggles defensively, giving up 51.2% FG and over 90 points per game while shooting poorly from three and the free throw line.
- No recent direct matchups of note, but Texas historically dominant over lower-tier teams like Fairleigh Dickinson from NEC conference.
- No major injury information reported for either team impacting starters or key rotation players.
- Game is played at Texas home court Moody Center, giving the Longhorns a solid home-court advantage and crowd support.
- Texas aims to build on a strong recent blowout win to even the season at 2-1, while Fairleigh Dickinson tries to avoid an 0-3 start, likely motivating Texas more as favorites and expected winners.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1000 | Texas Longhorns | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | -112 | Texas Longhorns -31.5 | β β β β β 88% |
| Over/under | -110 | Under 158.5 | β β β β β 76% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Longhorns to win outright and cover the spread in a low-scoring game under the set total
Predicted Score: Texas Longhorns 94 – Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 60