Match Analysis: Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: TD Garden, Boston
Game Overview
The Boston Celtics host the Memphis Grizzlies in an NBA matchup with both teams struggling early in the season. The Celtics are slightly favored at home despite a 5-7 record, while the Grizzlies stand at 4-8 and face challenges on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Celtics have a 5-7 record averaging 111.8 PPG, allowing 109.7 PPG with a +2.1 point differential. Memphis averages 114.3 PPG but concedes 119.8 PPG, posting a -5.5 differential. Celtics show stronger defense, Grizzlies have a higher pace and scoring but weaker defense.
- Historically, the Celtics have dominated recent matchups, especially against Southwest Division teams, maintaining significant winning streaks after losses. The Grizzlies have struggled as underdogs against the Celtics with no cover in their last seven attempts.
- No critical injury reports indicate major absences for either team at this time. Key players like Ja Morant for Memphis and Boston's core are expected to play.
- Game is at TD Garden, which favors Boston with strong home support. No notable external disruptions or back-to-back scheduling issues heavily impacting either team.
- Celtics aim to improve their home record and build momentum after a recent loss, motivated by the need to lift their sub-.500 start. Grizzlies look to rebound from recent defeats and cover the spread as road underdogs with a faster playing style.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Celtics: -250, Memphis Grizzlies: +205 | Boston Celtics | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Boston Celtics -6.5: -110, Memphis Grizzlies +6.5: -110 | Boston Celtics -6.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 229.5: -110, Under 229.5: -110 | Under 229.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Celtics -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 229.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 229.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Celtics to cover the -6.5 spread
Predicted Score: Boston Celtics 116 – Memphis Grizzlies 108