Match Analysis: Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Spectrum Center
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Bucks (7-4) visit the Charlotte Hornets (3-7) who are struggling with a three-game losing streak. Bucks have the better recent form, stronger offensive efficiency, and Milwaukee's defense, while not elite, is comparatively better than Charlotte's. The Hornets' defense ranks in the bottom tier, allowing over 121 points per game, making this game likely to be high scoring. The Bucks' offense ranks top 10 in points per game and field goal percentage. Spread and totals reflect the Bucks as favorites, with moderate expectations for a close but Bucks-favored game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Bucks maintain a strong 7-4 record with solid road performance; Charlotte Hornets have a poor 3-7 record and are on a three-game losing streak. Bucks rank 10th in points per game and 4th in field goal percentage, while Hornets allow defensively 121 points per game.
- Recent H2H favors Bucks with wins by margins between 6 and 11 points in the last 3 matchups; however, Hornets won a close game last year by 1 point. This suggests Bucks are usually favorites but Hornets can be competitive.
- No significant injuries reported impacting key players on either side at this time.
- The game is at Charlotte's home court, Spectrum Center, which could give slight edge to Hornets; however, Milwaukee's superior season form and away performance outweigh home court advantage.
- Hornets are motivated to break their losing streak at home, but Bucks have momentum with a winning record and recent good form, suggesting stronger overall motivation and confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte Hornets: +180, Milwaukee Bucks: -220 | Milwaukee Bucks | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Charlotte Hornets +5.5: -106, Milwaukee Bucks -5.5: -114 | Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 232.5: -108, Under 232.5: -112 | Over 232.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Bucks -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 232.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 232.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Bucks moneyline win
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Bucks 118 – Charlotte Hornets 111