Match Analysis: Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena
Game Overview
Detroit Pistons host Chicago Bulls in a midweek NBA clash. Pistons enter with a league-best 9-2 record, anchored by strong home form and defensive efficiency. Bulls are 6-4 but have struggled on the road, with a 1-3 away record and a three-game losing streak. Both teams are healthy, but Pistons' home edge and defensive discipline tilt the matchup in their favor.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pistons are 9-2 (5-1 home), averaging 118 PPG and allowing 112.7 PPG. Bulls are 6-4 (1-3 away), scoring 119.2 PPG but allowing 117.8 PPG on the road. Pistons' defense ranks top-5 in points allowed, while Bulls' offense is 13th in PPG and 4th in 3PT%.
- Pistons lost to Bulls 115-111 in season opener. Bulls have won 3 of last 5 meetings, but Pistons are stronger this season and at home.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Bulls recently recalled Coby White from G League, but he is expected to play limited minutes.
- Pistons have strong home-court advantage (5-1 record). Bulls are on a three-game losing streak and have struggled away from home. Game is played at Little Caesars Arena, where Pistons have controlled pace and limited opponents.
- Pistons are defending home turf and aiming to maintain top spot in the East. Bulls are trying to snap a losing streak and prove themselves on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -142, away: 120 | Detroit Pistons | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -2.5 -110, away: 2.5 -110 | Detroit Pistons -2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 234.5 -110, under: 234.5 -110 | Under 234.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 234.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 234.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pistons win a close, defensive battle, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total.
Predicted Score: Detroit Pistons 118, Chicago Bulls 116