Match Analysis: St Louis Blues vs Calgary Flames - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The St. Louis Blues host the Calgary Flames in a Western Conference NHL matchup. Both teams have struggled this season, with the Blues holding a slightly better record and playing at home. Calgary is currently last in the Pacific Division and has faced offensive challenges recently, including consecutive shutouts, while the Blues have a strong recent head-to-head record against the Flames.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Louis Blues hold a 5-8-3 record and are moderately better at home (2-4-3) compared to Calgary's 4-11-2 record and poor road form (2-7-1). Blues lost narrowly in overtime to Seattle recently, whereas Flames have lost three of four games, including two recent shutouts and a 2-0 loss to Minnesota.
- Historically dominant trend for the Blues with 9 wins in the last 10 meetings, including the last 7 straight. This season, Blues won 4-2 on the road against Calgary.
- Calgary Flames are missing key blue-liners Zayne Parekh and Henry Mews, weakening their defensive depth. Blues have no major injury concerns reported. Flames' defensive struggles contribute to their higher goals against per game (3.18).
- The game takes place indoors at the Enterprise Center, favoring the home Blues. Recent trends indicate low-scoring affairs for both teams, with Flames ranked low in power play efficiency and the Blues showing a strong home crowd advantage.
- Blues motivated to capitalize on home advantage to improve a sub-.500 season, while Flames struggle for momentum, sitting last in their division and dealing with offensive scoring droughts.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St Louis Blues: -148, Calgary Flames: +124 | St Louis Blues | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | St Louis Blues -1.5 (+170), Calgary Flames +1.5 (-205) | St Louis Blues -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 (-125), Under 5.5 (+105) | Under 5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St Louis Blues 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Blues to win outright and cover the -1.5 spread in a closely contested, likely low-scoring game under 5.5 total goals.
Predicted Score: St Louis Blues 3 - 1 Calgary Flames
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