Match Analysis: Minnesota Wild vs San Jose Sharks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Grand Casino Arena, Saint Paul, Minnesota
Game Overview
The Minnesota Wild and San Jose Sharks meet with Minnesota as a slight favorite at home. Minnesota has a balanced 7-7-3 record and recent solid home performance, while San Jose is on a 3-game win streak but has struggled historically against Minnesota and in certain situations as an underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
- Minnesota holds a 7-7-3 record, showing stability but inconsistent results. They have recently won 2-0 over Calgary at home. San Jose is 7-6-3 with momentum, having won their last three games and averaging 3.31 goals per game but with defensive fragility allowing 3.44 goals against.
- Minnesota has won 7 of the last 8 matches against San Jose and has covered the puck line in 8 of their last 9 games against Pacific Division opponents. Conversely, the Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in 5 of their last 6 road games following a win against the Wild.
- San Jose is dealing with key injuries on attack and transition, including William Eklund and Nick Leddy on injured reserve, limiting their offensive depth. Minnesota does not have major injury concerns noted.
- The game is at Minnesota’s home arena with the Wild having a good recent home record of 4-3-2. ESPN+ will broadcast the game, adding exposure but no major external impact. Trends favor Wild in late periods.
- Minnesota aims to solidify their position in the Central Division and bounce back to winning form after a mixed start, plus motivation to maintain dominance over Sharks. San Jose looks to continue their winning streak and prove competitiveness against a rival division opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota Wild -218, San Jose Sharks +180 | Minnesota Wild | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Minnesota Wild -1.5 +110, San Jose Sharks +1.5 -130 | Minnesota Wild -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 -112, Under 6.5 -108 | Over 6.5 | ★★★☆☆ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota Wild 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Minnesota Wild win; Spread: Minnesota Wild -1.5; Over/Under: Over 6.5 goals
Predicted Score: Minnesota Wild 4 – San Jose Sharks 3