Match Analysis: Kansas Jayhawks vs Texas A&M-CC Islanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Allen Fieldhouse, Lawrence, KS
Game Overview
The Kansas Jayhawks, a historically strong basketball program ranked No. 19, host the Texas A&M-CC Islanders. Kansas enters 1-1, seeking redemption after a tough road loss to North Carolina, while Texas A&M-CC is 1-2 and looking to keep the game competitive despite being clear underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas has experienced mixed recent form (1-1), but their home advantage and higher talent level bode well. Texas A&M-CC's record is 1-2 with losses on the road and modest scoring averages, struggling against top-tier opposition.
- Limited direct recent matchups. Historical data shows Kansas struggles to cover large spreads of 25+ points (covered only 2 of last 20 games), while Texas A&M-CC's +25.5 spread has been covered in 20 consecutive games. However, Kansas's overall quality is superior.
- No significant injuries reported for either side affecting starters or key contributors.
- Game played at Kansas' home court, Allen Fieldhouse, providing strong home crowd support. No unusual travel or schedule issues reported.
- Kansas is motivated to bounce back strongly at home following a road loss. Texas A&M-CC aims to limit the margin and gain confidence, but motivation likely favors Kansas.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -10000, away: +3000 | Kansas Jayhawks | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Kansas: -25.5 -110, Texas A&M-CC: +25.5 -110 | Texas A&M-CC +25.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -110, Under: 147.5 -110 | Under 147.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas Jayhawks -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas Jayhawks moneyline win, covering the heavy favorite expectation with a high probability, but NOT taking the spread due to Kansasβs recent poor cover record on large spreads. For total points, lean under given average scoring and defensive tendencies.
Predicted Score: Kansas Jayhawks 79 – Texas A&M-CC 55