Match Analysis: Montréal Canadiens vs Los Angeles Kings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 11, 2025
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Bell Centre, Montréal, Quebec
Game Overview
Interconference matchup between the Montreal Canadiens (10-3-2), the 1st-ranked team in the Eastern Atlantic Division with strong early-season form, and the Los Angeles Kings (7-5-4), who are tied for second in the Pacific Division. The Kings arrive in Montreal off a 3-2 road victory against Pittsburgh, while the Canadiens dominated Utah 6-2 at home on Saturday. Historically, Los Angeles holds a significant edge, winning the last 8 consecutive meetings and leading the all-time series 8-2 over the last 10 matchups.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal is performing at an elite level offensively, averaging 3.8 goals per game (top-tier in the NHL) with a 27.9% power-play conversion rate (5th in the league). Cole Caufield has 12 goals and 18 points, while Nick Suzuki leads with 20 points. However, they allow 3.1 goals against per game. Los Angeles averages 2.75 goals per game (tied for 23rd) while allowing 3.0 goals against per game. The Kings are 20th in power-play success (17.6%) but have demonstrated strong road form, including their recent win over Pittsburgh.
- Los Angeles has dominated recent matchups, winning the last 8 consecutive games against Montreal. The Kings won the most recent game 6-3 at home on February 5. This historical advantage is significant and suggests Los Angeles has developed effective strategies against the Canadiens.
- No specific injuries reported in the search results for either team.
- Montreal plays at home at the Bell Centre with a strong 5-2 record when moneyline odds are -120 or shorter (71.4% win percentage). Los Angeles enters on a 6-1-2 road record this season, indicating excellent away performance. The game is broadcast on ESPN+.
- Montreal seeks to maintain their strong start and protect their home record. Los Angeles, despite their underdog status, is motivated by their historic dominance in this matchup and recent road success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Kings: -108 | Montréal Canadiens: -112 | Montréal Canadiens (-112) | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Los Angeles Kings: 1.5 -265 | Montréal Canadiens: -1.5 215 | Montréal Canadiens -1.5 (215) | ★★★☆☆ 51% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -130 | Under 5.5: 110 | Over 5.5 (-130) | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montréal Canadiens 10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Montréal Canadiens at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montreal Canadiens to win. While Los Angeles possesses superior recent head-to-head performance and strong road form, Montreal's elite offensive output, first-place divisional standing, dominant home record, and favorable moneyline historical performance at these odds provide stronger edge. The Kings' significant gaps in offensive production (0.75 fewer goals per game) and power-play efficiency create a vulnerable profile against Montreal's high-octane attack.
Predicted Score: Montréal Canadiens 4, Los Angeles Kings 2