Match Analysis: Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Lenovo Center, Raleigh, North Carolina
Game Overview
The Carolina Hurricanes (11-4) host the Washington Capitals (7-7-1) with Carolina riding a four-game winning streak and a strong home and conference record. The Capitals have struggled on the road with recent losses and a middling conference record, contrasting with Carolina's defensive solidity and offensive depth.
Key Factors to Consider
- Carolina is in excellent form, boasting 4 straight wins and averaging around 4 goals per game in recent matches. They hold an 11-4 overall record and a 6-1 conference record. Washington is 7-7-1 overall with a 4-6 conference record and a 3-game losing streak on the road.
- In the last 10 meetings, Carolina has won approximately 7, showing clear dominance. Recent tight contests feature Carolina scoring more goals and maintaining defensive robustness.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact the outcome substantially; starting lineups appear intact.
- Home-ice advantage favors Carolina strongly; the game is at Lenovo Center, Raleigh, with Carolina holding a perfect 4-0 division home record.
- Carolina looks motivated to maintain their streak and conference standing, while Washington needs to improve their poor road form and conference position.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carolina -162, Washington +136 | Carolina Hurricanes | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Carolina -1.5 (160), Washington +1.5 (-192) | Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 -135, Under 5.5 114 | Under 5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carolina Hurricanes 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Carolina Hurricanes to win outright with a -1.5 goal spread hold and the game total to go under 5.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Carolina Hurricanes 4 – Washington Capitals 2