Match Analysis: Army Knights vs Duke Blue Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Christl Arena, West Point, New York
Game Overview
The Duke Blue Devils (2-0) visit the Army Knights (1-1) at Christl Arena for a highly uneven matchup. Duke is a nationally rated powerhouse with dominant recent performances, while Army, a service academy team, is still developing consistency and aims to compete at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Duke is undefeated (2-0) with dominant offensive and defensive output, averaging roughly 85 points per game and holding opponents to low scoring. Army is 1-1, averaging 74.5 points but recently lost 83-76, showing less defensive strength.
- Duke has decisively won all recent meetings by large margins, including a 100-58 victory last season. Army previously covered the +31.5 spread in 2 of their last 3 games against Duke but has never won outright.
- No significant injuries reported for either side impacting key players. Duke's top scorer C. Boozer is active and in form, averaging 20 PPG.
- The game is played at Armyβs Christl Arena, which may provide some home-court advantage, but the talent gap is substantial. Public betting heavily favors Duke with 100% on Army spread bets likely to be from contrarian bettors.
- Duke aims to maintain perfect record and dominance early in the season to solidify national standing. Army seeks prideful performance and to cover the large spread at home but is underdog in all facets.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1500 | Duke Blue Devils | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | -102 (Duke -32.5) | Duke Blue Devils to cover -32.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | -110 over/under 149.5 | Under 149.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Away -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Duke Blue Devils moneyline win; Duke cover the -32.5 spread; Under 149.5 total points
Predicted Score: Duke Blue Devils 95 – Army Knights 60