Match Analysis: UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs Lipscomb Bisons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 11, 2025
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Kimmel Arena, Asheville, North Carolina
Game Overview
Two winless teams clash as the Lipscomb Bisons (0-2) travel to face the UNC Asheville Bulldogs (0-2) in a desperate search for their first victory of the season. Both programs have struggled significantly to start the year, with Lipscomb averaging just 61.0 PPG while allowing 98.5 PPG, and UNC Asheville showing similar offensive inconsistency. This matchup features two offensively challenged teams playing on a neutral performance stage, creating a low-scoring contest environment.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lipscomb has lost to Vanderbilt and Mercer, shooting poorly from the field (44.8% FG in last game) and averaging only 8 assists per game, indicating significant offensive execution problems. The Bisons allow opponents to shoot over 55% combined and have committed multiple turnovers. UNC Asheville also enters 0-2 following defeats to Wichita State and Georgia Southern. Both teams are among the worst offensive performers in the nation early in the season, suggesting a low-scoring affair.
- No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be a non-conference matchup with limited historical context.
- No significant injuries reported for either team in the available search results.
- UNC Asheville plays at home where they have historically hit the moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units, 19% ROI) and covered the spread in 8 of their last 12 home games (+3.60 Units, 27% ROI). However, their totals have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 7 home games (+4.90 Units, 64% ROI). Lipscomb has only hit the team total over in 6 of their last 17 away games (-34% ROI), suggesting consistent low-scoring performances on the road.
- Both teams are 0-2 and desperately need a win to avoid falling further behind in the win column. UNC Asheville has the advantage of playing at home where historical data shows strong moneyline and ATS performance. Lipscomb faces a challenging road environment against a team with strong home court statistics.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lipscomb +220 | UNC Asheville -280 | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Lipscomb +6.5 (-114) | UNC Asheville -6.5 (-106) | UNC Asheville -6.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 155.5 (-112) | Under 155.5 (-112) | Under 155.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNC Asheville Bulldogs -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UNC Asheville will defeat Lipscomb in a low-scoring contest. The home team's superior defensive metrics and strong home performance history outweigh Lipscomb's marginal offensive weapons. The game will stay under the total due to both teams' offensive limitations.
Predicted Score: UNC Asheville 80, Lipscomb 73