Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Oxford, Ohio
Game Overview
The Toledo Rockets (5-4) visit the Miami (OH) RedHawks (5-4) in a closely matched MAC contest where both teams have similar overall and conference records. Toledo enters as a narrow favorite with momentum after a strong offensive showing in their latest game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toledo has a slightly stronger defense allowing only 14.6 points per game and averaging 32.9 points scored, compared to Miami (OH)'s 25.3 points scored and 21.7 points allowed. Toledo's offense showed efficiency recently with 42 points and balanced attack. Miami has been solid at home but struggles against tough defense.
- Historically, matches between these two have been competitive, but Toledo often holds a slight edge, especially when playing away. Recent form favors Toledo given their decisive last win.
- No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact key offensive or defensive players.
- Game played at Miami (OH) home stadium, providing slight home field advantage. Weather conditions expected to be fair, not impacting play significantly.
- Both teams have identical overall records and similar conference standings; Toledo is motivated to solidify playoff positioning, while Miami aims to defend home turf to improve postseason chances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +134, away: -158 | Toledo Rockets | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Miami (OH) RedHawks: -115, Toledo Rockets: -105 | Toledo Rockets -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: -115, Under: -105 | Over 44.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toledo Rockets -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 44.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toledo Rockets to win on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go over the total points line.
Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 28 – Miami (OH) RedHawks 20