Match Analysis: Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
Game Overview
The Minnesota Timberwolves (6-4) visit the Utah Jazz (3-6) for their second matchup of the season. Minnesota is a strong favorite with a 7.5-point spread, having dominated Utah in recent meetings including a 40-point victory in their last encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
- Timberwolves are in better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games including a 137-97 blowout of the Jazz. Utah has struggled with a 3-6 record and key injuries impacting depth.
- Minnesota has won 9 of the last 10 games against Utah, including a recent decisive 137-97 victory, demonstrating clear dominance in this rivalry.
- Minnesotaβs Terrence Shannon is out with a foot injury but overall squad healthier. Utah is missing Walker Kessler (out for season) and has Georges Niang as day-to-day, weakening their competitiveness.
- The game is at Utahβs home court, but travel and form strongly favor Minnesota. The Timberwolves have no rest disadvantage as their Sunday game was excluded from analysis.
- Minnesota seeks to maintain dominance in the Northwest Division and improve playoff positioning, while Utah struggles to regain footing after a poor start.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota -290, Utah +235 | Minnesota Timberwolves | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Minnesota -7.5 (-108), Utah +7.5 (-112) | Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 233.5 -115, Under 233.5 -105 | Over 233.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota Timberwolves -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 233.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 233.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota Timberwolves win straight up, cover the 7.5 point spread, and the total score goes over 233.5 points.
Predicted Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 121 – Utah Jazz 114