Match Analysis: Kent State Golden Flashes vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Memorial Athletic and Convocation Center, Kent, OH
Game Overview
Kent State Golden Flashes host the UNC Wilmington Seahawks in an early season NCAA basketball contest. Kent State comes in at 1-1 after splitting two high-scoring games, while UNC Wilmington is undefeated at 1-0 with a strong offensive showing in their opener.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kent State averages 103.5 points scored and allowed in their two games, showing offensive firepower but also defensive vulnerabilities. UNC Wilmington impressed with 106 points on 52.1% shooting and strong rebounding (53 boards) in a one-sided win. Both teams have shown scoring ability but also some turnovers (UNCW had 14 in opener).
- Limited recent H2H data available; each team won previous meetings but Kent State holds home advantage. The spread favors Kent State by 2.5 points, indicating a closely matched contest but slight edge to the home team.
- No significant injury reports or player absences currently noted for either team.
- Kent State has home court advantage at the M.A.C. Center which historically boosts their competitive edge. Early season form favors UNC Wilmington offensively, but Kent Stateβs experience and motivated home crowd balance the scales.
- Kent State is keen to rebound from a 1-1 start and establish home dominance. UNC Wilmington aims to maintain their undefeated record and capitalize on their offensive momentum early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kent State -162 / UNC Wilmington +134 | Kent State | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Kent State -2.5 -114 / UNC Wilmington +2.5 -106 | Kent State -2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 162.5 -110 / Under 162.5 -110 | Under 162.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kent State Golden Flashes -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 162.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 162.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kent State to cover the spread (-2.5) and under on total points
Predicted Score: Kent State 82 – UNC Wilmington 78