Match Analysis: Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Game Overview
Detroit Pistons (8-2), the East's hottest team, host the struggling Washington Wizards (1-9) in a matchup of teams at opposite ends of the conference standings. Detroit is riding a six-game win streak and has covered the spread in seven of their last nine. Washington, meanwhile, has lost eight straight and is just 1-9 ATS on the year. The Pistons are heavy favorites, reflecting both teams' current trajectories.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pistons are 8-2, winners of six straight, and 5-0 in their last five games. Team is 5-0 in the last five games against the spread, averaging a high offensive efficiency and solid defense. Wizards are 1-9, have allowed 128.4 points per game, and are in a deep slump[2][3][5].
- No recent head-to-head data provided for this season, but the Pistons' current form and defensive intensity significantly outmatch the Wizards' all-around struggles[3][5].
- No major injury news reported for either team that would shift expectations.
- The Pistons are finishing a back-to-back, which could cause minor fatigue, but their depth and momentum heavily offset this. No other notable external factors.
- Pistons are motivated to maintain their status as the East's top seed; Wizards are reeling and searching for any sign of momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pistons -650, Wizards +470 | Pistons | ★★★★★ 90% |
| Spread | Pistons -11.5 -112, Wizards +11.5 -108 | Pistons -11.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 235.5 -105, Under 235.5 -115 | Under 235.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 235.5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 235.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pistons are likely to win comfortably, covering the spread and forcing a high-paced game, but the total may just fall below the market line given the Wizards' offensive woes.
Predicted Score: Pistons 123, Wizards 108
