Match Analysis: Niagara Purple Eagles vs Delaware St Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gallagher Center, Lewiston, NY
Game Overview
The Niagara Purple Eagles (1-1) host the Delaware State Hornets (0-2) in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup. Niagara shows balanced scoring and modest defensive improvements, while Delaware State struggles offensively and defensively, particularly after a heavy loss to Syracuse.
Key Factors to Consider
- Niagara holds a 1-1 record with an average of 71 points scored and 63 allowed, showing better defense and slightly more consistent offense. Delaware State is 0-2, averaging 65 points but allowing 83, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities and offensive inconsistency, especially after an 83β43 blowout loss to Syracuse.
- Recent matchups are limited, but Niagara holds the edge in form and home advantage, and Delaware State has struggled on the road this season.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, maintaining full rosters for this contest.
- The game is at Niagaraβs home venue (Gallagher Center), providing an atmosphere advantage. There is public betting heavily favoring Niagara, indicating confidence in their ability to cover the spread and win outright.
- Niagara looks motivated to solidify a winning record early, while Delaware State aims to bounce back from two losses but faces morale challenges after their recent blowout defeat.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Niagara -220, Delaware St +180 | Niagara Purple Eagles | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Niagara -5.5 (-105), Delaware St +5.5 (-115) | Niagara Purple Eagles -5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 139.5 -110, Under 139.5 -110 | Under 139.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Niagara Purple Eagles 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Niagara Purple Eagles to win straight up and cover the spread, with the game expected to go under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Niagara Purple Eagles 72 – Delaware State Hornets 62