Match Analysis: UMass Lowell River Hawks vs New Haven Chargers - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Kennedy Family Athletic Complex, Lowell, MA
Game Overview
UMass Lowell River Hawks (1-1) host New Haven Chargers (0-3) in an early season NCAAB contest. New Haven is struggling heavily as a recent D-II transplant team with little Division I experience and poor defensive metrics, while UMass Lowell, despite a recent blowout loss, should benefit from the talent and experience gap.
Key Factors to Consider
- UMass Lowell has a 1-1 record showing competitive scoring (77 ppg) and solid shooting (43.8%), allowing 82.5 ppg. New Haven is winless, averaging 75.5 points but allowing 118.5 points per game with poor shooting efficiency (37.7%) and weak defense.
- No detailed recent direct matchups available; however, differences in roster experience and Division level suggest UMass Lowell superiority.
- No significant injury reports affecting either team, indicating full rosters available.
- UMass Lowell has home-court advantage at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex; New Haven is traveling and also dealing with early season fatigue after two recent heavy losses.
- UMass Lowell aims to bounce back from a heavy loss to UConn and prove superiority over a struggling New Haven team. New Haven is desperate for a first win but is hampered by roster limitations and adjustment to Division I.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UMass Lowell -750, New Haven +490 | UMass Lowell | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | UMass Lowell -10.5 -110, New Haven +10.5 -110 | UMass Lowell -10.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 144.5 -106, Under 144.5 -118 | Under 144.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UMass Lowell River Hawks -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 29% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UMass Lowell to win comfortably, cover the -10.5 spread, and the total to stay under 144.5 points
Predicted Score: UMass Lowell 78 - New Haven 63
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