Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Kent State Golden Flashes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: InfoCision Stadium-Summa Field, Akron, OH
Game Overview
Akron Zips (4-6) host Kent State Golden Flashes (3-6) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Akron enters with a slightly better record and home advantage but is hampered by a postseason ban and recent poor form. Both teams have struggled throughout the season with Akron showing some improvement late and Kent State remaining inconsistent.
Key Factors to Consider
- Akron is 4-6 overall, currently 3-3 in MAC play, with a five-game losing streak recently although ending last season on a two-game win streak including a victory over Kent State. Kent State is 3-6 overall, 2-3 in conference, and has been generally underperforming this season.
- Recent meetings favor Akron slightly; Akron ended last year's season beating Kent State. Akron has been more competitive at home historically. The teams have a close rivalry, but Akron has the edge in recent matchups.
- No major injury reports available affecting either team significantly before this matchup.
- Akron is under a postseason ban due to NCAA Academic Progress Rate penalties, which could affect motivation and focus. Weather is cold (33Β°F) but clear, with no precipitation and minimal wind, unlikely to impact gameplay significantly.
- Akron is motivated to end the season on a positive note despite no bowl eligibility, aiming to leverage home advantage and close out respectably. Kent State looks to improve its losing record and gain confidence with a road upset, but motivation may be lower given their worse record and recent struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Akron Zips: -190, Kent State Golden Flashes: +160 | Akron Zips | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Akron Zips -5.5: -105, Kent State Golden Flashes +5.5: -115 | Akron Zips -5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 49.5: -110, Under 49.5: -110 | Over 49.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Akron Zips -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 49.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Akron Zips to win straight up and cover the spread; the game to go over the total points line.
Predicted Score: Akron Zips 28 – 17 Kent State Golden Flashes