Match Analysis: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Saski Baskonia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Arena Sofia
Game Overview
Hapoel Tel Aviv hosts Saski Baskonia in a Euroleague matchup where Hapoel Tel Aviv enters as the strong favorite given their superior recent form and home advantage. Baskonia faces an uphill battle without a historical edge and lower confidence from recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hapoel Tel Aviv is in strong form with a record of 8 wins and 2 losses this Euroleague season, averaging 88.8 points scored and 80.2 conceded per game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games. Baskonia has a middling 6-4 record and weaker recent results.
- No previous head-to-head meetings between these two teams, making direct matchup data unavailable.
- No significant injuries reported on either team that would shift baseline expectations.
- The match is at a neutral but nominal home venue for Hapoel Tel Aviv (Arena Sofia). Travel and fatigue factors appear minimal given the schedule.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv has greater motivation to maintain their top standing in the league with fewer losses, while Baskonia appears to be playing catch-up.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hapoel Tel Aviv: -535, Saski Baskonia: +400 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | ★★★★☆ 77% |
| Spread | Hapoel Tel Aviv -10.5 (-110), Saski Baskonia +10.5 (-110) | Hapoel Tel Aviv -10.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 177.5 (-108), Under 177.5 (-112) | Under 177.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hapoel Tel Aviv -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 177.5 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 177.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hapoel Tel Aviv is predicted to win comfortably, covering the spread and the game staying under the total points line as both teams have shown structured defense and Hapoel’s strong scoring efficiency should control the pace.
Predicted Score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91 – Saski Baskonia 78