Match Analysis: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs East Texas A&M Lions - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 6:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bankoh Arena at Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI
Game Overview
East Texas A&M Lions (1-1) visit Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (0-1) for a non-conference college basketball game. Hawai'i are favored by around 20 points at home, leveraging a strong rebounding and defensive profile, while East Texas A&M is adjusting after adding key transfer Ronnie Harrison to improve an otherwise low-efficiency offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hawai'i is 0-1 on the season but showed strong defensive metrics, notably rebounding ranked 18th nationally last season. East Texas A&M is 1-1 with an offense ranked near bottom nationally last year (352nd in points per possession), now boosted slightly by Harrison's scoring. Hawai'iβs form versus the spread is positive (1-0 ATS in last 5 games).
- The teams last met in December 2022 with East Texas A&M (then Texas A&M-Commerce) winning a close 53-51 game. That suggests a competitive history, but recent roster and performance changes favor Hawai'i now.
- No significant injury reports for either team have been noted leading to this game, preserving roster strength.
- East Texas A&M faces the longest road trip of their season, traveling to Hawai'i which may affect energy and performance. Public betting heavily favors Hawai'i (100% bets), indicating perceived dominance and home advantage.
- Hawai'i, undefeated at home historically and with a strong defensive identity, is motivated to start the season strongly after a close opener loss. East Texas A&M aims to prove offensive improvement but faces a tough environment.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -6000 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | -115 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -19.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | -110 | Under 146.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 146.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors to win outright and cover the spread; total points to stay under 146.5
Predicted Score: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 78 - East Texas A&M Lions 56
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