Match Analysis: Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 11:10 PM UTC
- Location: Kia Center
Game Overview
Orlando Magic host Boston Celtics in a rematch just two days after the Magic won 123-110. Both teams are near .500, with the Magic favored at home despite the Celtics' recent struggles and missing Jayson Tatum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Magic have won 4 of their last 5, averaging 117 PPG and 47.8% FG. Celtics have lost 3 of their last 4, averaging 113 PPG and allowing 110.7 PPG, but are 3rd in defensive rating.
- Magic won the previous matchup 123-110 as -3.5 favorites. Celtics lead the last 10 meetings 6-4, but Magic have won 3 of the last 4.
- Jayson Tatum (Celtics) is out. Moritz Wagner (Magic) is out. Both teams are otherwise healthy.
- Magic are at home, where they are 3-1 this season. Celtics are on a back-to-back after a loss in Orlando.
- Celtics are seeking revenge after a recent blowout loss and are desperate to stop a losing streak. Magic are confident after a strong win and are favored at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -148, away: 126 | Orlando Magic | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -3 -110, away: 3 -110 | Orlando Magic -3 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 226.5 -108, under: 226.5 -112 | Over 226.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Orlando Magic 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 226.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 226.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Orlando Magic win outright and cover the spread, with the game going over the total.
Predicted Score: 120-112