Match Analysis: Belleville Senators vs Laval Rocket – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Belleville Senators Home Arena, USA
Game Overview
Laval Rocket enter as the stronger team in recent form and rankings with 46 wins in 69 games versus Belleville's 33 wins. Laval Rocket lead the standings and have shown better resilience in head-to-head and recent encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Laval Rocket have a superior recent form with 6 wins in their last 10 games and hold the top AHL position. Belleville Senators have been moderate with 4 wins in their last 10. Belleville are strong offensively, with a high percentage of games going over 5.5 goals.
- Historically, Belleville leads in total wins 63-47 at home but Laval is competitive overall. The recent match on 22 Oct 2025 ended 6-2 in favor of Belleville. However, overall Laval has a 56% implied win probability from odds-based data.
- No significant injury reports available suggesting major impact on either team's lineup for this clash.
- Belleville is playing at home but Lavalβs higher ranking and form reduce the typical home advantage effect. No unusual external factors noted.
- Laval Rocket, being top of the standings and fighting for playoff positioning, have a strong motivation edge. Belleville, mid-table, has less playoff pressure but will want to surprise at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -105, away: -141 | Laval Rocket | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home +1.5: -278, away -1.5: 195 | Laval Rocket -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over 5.5: -130, under 5.5: -105 | Over 5.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Laval Rocket -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Laval Rocket to win on the moneyline; Laval Rocket to cover the -1.5 spread; Game to go over 5.5 total goals.
Predicted Score: Laval Rocket 4 – 2 Belleville Senators