Match Analysis: Edmonton Oilers vs Colorado Avalanche – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta
Game Overview
A closely matched NHL game between the Colorado Avalanche and Edmonton Oilers, with both teams featuring strong offensive talent but differing recent form and defensive stability.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado has a strong recent record (8-1-5), winning 3 of their last 4 games and averaging 3.57 goals per game with solid defense allowing 2.5 goals per game. Edmonton is struggling with a 6-5-4 record and has lost 4 of their last 5 games, including failing to cover the spread in recent matchups.
- Colorado holds an edge historically, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings against Edmonton, indicating a slight advantage in matchups.
- Edmonton's roster status is stable with no major injuries reported, while Colorado has one questionable concussion case (Gavin Brindley) that likely won't substantially affect their lineup.
- The game is played at Rogers Place with Edmonton as home team, but market odds and public betting heavily favor Colorado despite home advantage.
- Colorado is motivated to maintain momentum and achieve their fourth win in five games, while Edmonton is under pressure to snap their losing streak at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Avalanche: -121, Edmonton Oilers: -104 | Colorado Avalanche | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Colorado Avalanche -1.5: +200, Edmonton Oilers +1.5: -265 | Edmonton Oilers +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5: -103, Under 6.5: -121 | Under 6.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Avalanche -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Colorado Avalanche to win; Spread: Edmonton Oilers +1.5; Over/Under: Under 6.5 goals
Predicted Score: Colorado Avalanche 4 – Edmonton Oilers 3