Match Analysis: UNLV Rebels vs Chattanooga Mocs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Thomas & Mack Center
Game Overview
UNLV Rebels host Chattanooga Mocs in a non-conference matchup. UNLV is favored at home after a narrow loss in their opener, while Chattanooga enters with momentum from a dominant season debut. The game features contrasting styles: UNLV's offensive firepower versus Chattanooga's depth and rebounding strength.
Key Factors to Consider
- UNLV showed offensive potential but struggled defensively in their opener, shooting 46% from the field but allowing 86 points. Chattanooga dominated their opener with a 92-39 win, shooting 43.6% and assisting on 26 of 34 baskets, while pulling down 54 rebounds and forcing 11 turnovers. Over the last five games, Chattanooga averages over 82 points per game.
- No recent head-to-head data available.
- UNLV lists several injuries: Myles Che (foot), Isaac Williamson (foot), Mason Abittan (undisclosed), Emmanuel Stephen (hip). Chattanooga reports no injuries.
- UNLV is at home, which typically provides a boost, but their injury situation could impact depth and defensive cohesion. Chattanooga's strong rebounding and ball movement could exploit UNLV's defensive vulnerabilities.
- UNLV is motivated to bounce back after a home loss, while Chattanooga seeks to prove themselves against a Power 5 opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -255 | UNLV Rebels | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | -5.5 -105 | UNLV Rebels -5.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | 154.5 -110 | Under | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNLV Rebels 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UNLV Rebels cover the spread and win outright, but the game stays under the total due to defensive adjustments and UNLV's injury situation limiting offensive efficiency.
Predicted Score: UNLV 78, Chattanooga 74