Match Analysis: Loyola Marymount Lions vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Gersten Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA
Game Overview
The 2-0 Loyola Marymount Lions host the 0-2 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions in this NCAAB matchup. Loyola Marymount is heavily favored given their unbeaten start and home court advantage, while Arkansas-Pine Bluff has struggled offensively and defensively in their first two games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Loyola Marymount remains undefeated (2-0), showing strong offensive efficiency and defensive stability, having recently limited opponents under average scoring. Arkansas-Pine Bluff has started 0-2, shooting under 37% from the field and struggling to contain opponents defensively.
- No recent direct head-to-head data available, but Loyola Marymount's overall stronger program and current form suggest a significant advantage.
- No significant injury reports affecting starters for either team reported before the game.
- Game hosted at Loyola Marymount's home court, offering them a strong home advantage. The matchup time is in early morning UTC but prime local time for home fans, aiding LMU.
- Loyola Marymount is motivated to maintain a perfect start and demonstrate dominance at home. Arkansas-Pine Bluff seeks its first win but faces psychological and performance challenges after back-to-back losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -3200, away: +1400 | Loyola Marymount | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | home: -108, away: -112 | Loyola Marymount -19.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Under 157.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Loyola Marymount Lions -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 157.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 157.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Loyola Marymount to win outright with a cover of the 19.5-point spread; total points expected under 157.5.
Predicted Score: Loyola Marymount 85 – Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65