Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Savage Arena, Toledo, OH
Game Overview
The Marshall Thundering Herd (1-0) visit the Toledo Rockets (0-1) at Savage Arena. Marshall won their opening game with solid shooting and defensive stats, while Toledo lost narrowly at home but showed strong shooting efficiency. Historically Toledo dominates the recent head-to-head series, but Marshall enters with momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marshall started 1-0 with a 78-72 win over UMass, shooting 48.2% FG and converting 10/30 from three. They forced 20 turnovers and grabbed 35 rebounds. Toledo is 0-1 after a close 74-76 home loss to South Alabama, shooting 47.3% FG and 45.5% from three, with solid individual performances but a narrow defeat.
- Toledo has won 7 of the last 8 matchups against Marshall, including two recent victories (88-87 and 90-80). Despite this, Marshall looks to leverage their current form to break this trend.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, both expected to start their key players.
- The game is played at Toledoβs home venue, Savage Arena, giving them a slight home court advantage. Broadcast on ESPN+ may increase team motivation for exposure.
- Marshall looks motivated to continue their winning start and prove themselves against a team that has historically dominated them. Toledo is keen to bounce back from their opening loss and defend home court pride.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marshall: +105, Toledo: -125 | Marshall | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Marshall: +1.5 -105, Toledo: -1.5 -115 | Toledo -1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 160.5 -108, Under: 160.5 -112 | Under 160.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marshall Thundering Herd 23% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 160.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Marshall Thundering Herd moneyline +105 for highest expected value, with Toledo favored on spread -1.5 but riskier due to recent form and motivation. Expect game total to stay under 160.5 given recent scoring patterns and defensive tendencies.
Predicted Score: Marshall 78 – Toledo 75