Match Analysis: Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 6:10 PM UTC
- Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Game Overview
Metropolitan Division Flyers (8-5-1) host Atlantic Division Senators (6-5-3). Flyers boast strong home form and elite defense; Senators feature a potent offense but leaky defense and poor penalty kill.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flyers have won 6 of 9 home games, allowing just 2.6 goals per game (NHL 6th best). Their goaltending is solid, and defense limits high-danger chances. Senators score 3.4 goals per game (8th) but concede 3.9 (29th) with unstable goaltending[1][2].
- Senators won the last meeting 2-1 in late October, but Flyers are resurgent and historically strong at home[7].
- No major injuries reported for either team. Flyers' key players (Konecny, Tippett) and Senators' top guns (StΓΌtzle, Pinto) appear available.
- No significant external disruptions (travel, weather, scheduling) reported for this matchup.
- Flyers are looking for three straight wins, maintaining momentum at home. Senators are desperate to end a skid of three losses in their last four, all in extra time[2].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Flyers +100, Ottawa Senators -124 | Philadelphia Flyers moneyline | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 (-250), Ottawa Senators -1.5 (+195) | Philadelphia Flyers cover +1.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 6 (-103), Under 6 (-122) | Under 6 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Flyers 10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Flyers at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flyers leverage home ice and defensive edge to contain Senators' offense. Ottawa's defensive instability and weak penalty kill are exploited by Philadelphia's opportunistic scoring.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Flyers 3, Ottawa Senators 2