Match Analysis: New Haven Chargers vs Penn State Nittany Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Hazell Center, West Haven, CT
Game Overview
The Penn State Nittany Lions, coming off a 1-0 start, face the New Haven Chargers, who are 0-1, in an early season NCAA basketball matchup. Penn State is a clear favorite, both in odds and talent, expected to dominate at the Hazell Center.
Key Factors to Consider
- Penn State has started the season strong with a 1-0 record, showcasing efficient scoring averaging around 75 PPG and solid defense allowing 68 PPG. New Haven is 0-1, showing some defensive struggles and lower offensive output.
- Limited recent head-to-head data, suggesting Penn Stateβs superior program and recruiting make them the favored team historically.
- No major injuries reported for either team; full lineups expected.
- Game played at New Havenβs home court might give a small advantage to Chargers, but crowd impact likely subdued given the matchup disparity.
- Penn State aims to establish dominance early in the season for tournament positioning; New Haven looks motivated to prove competitive against a Power Five conference opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +1000, away: -1800 | Penn State Nittany Lions | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | Penn State Nittany Lions -16.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Under 144.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Penn State Nittany Lions -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Penn State to win outright and cover the 16.5-point spread; bet on Under 144.5 total points given defensive tendencies and conservative pace.
Predicted Score: Penn State 78 – New Haven 63