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Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Drexel Dragons Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Saint Joseph's Hawks vs Drexel Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena, Philadelphia, PA

Game Overview

Early-season clash in the Big 5 Classic between two 1-0 teams. Saint Joseph's enters with a high-powered offense and home-court advantage, while Drexel brings a deliberate, defensive style and the potential to slow the tempo. Both teams have question marks after offseason roster turnover, but Saint Joseph's is favored by the market by a sizable margin.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saint Joseph's started with an 85-76 win over Lafayette, led by a dynamic offensive effort from Jaiden Glover-Toscano (23 pts, 9 reb) and Anthony Finkley (15 pts). The Hawks averaged 75+ ppg last season and looked sharp in their opener[2][3]. Drexel is 1-0 but its key stats are unclear due to limited sample; last season, they played at one of the nation’s slowest paces and had a strong defense (44.7% FG, 31.1% 3PT allowed)[5].
  • Recent H2H data is limited, but Saint Joseph's has won its last 10 day games at home vs. non-AP-ranked opponents, while Drexel has won 6 of its last 7 road games vs. A-10 teams[3].
  • Saint Joseph's lost Rasheer Fleming, a major subtraction from last year's rotation[5]. Drexel's current injury report is unclear, but they return size in the frontcourt.
  • Home-court advantage at Hagan Arena is significant for Saint Joseph's, especially in early season non-conference matchups[3]. Both teams are feeling out new lineups, which could lead to sloppy play or unexpected performances.
  • Both teams are undefeated and seeking early momentum in a local rivalry. Saint Joseph's likely has higher expectations after a strong 2024-25 finish (22-13, NIT appearance)[3], while Drexel looks to prove it can compete with A-10 teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Drexel +380, Saint Joseph's -500 Saint Joseph's Hawks β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Drexel +9.5 -108, Saint Joseph's -9.5 -112 Drexel Dragons (+9.5) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 139.5 -108, Under 139.5 -112 Under 139.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saint Joseph's Hawks -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 139.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saint Joseph's is the clear favorite and should win, but Drexel's defensive discipline and deliberate pace will keep this closer than the market suggests. The total should stay below the posted number due to Drexel's tempo and defensive strengths.

Predicted Score: Saint Joseph's Hawks 72, Drexel Dragons 65


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Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Maine Black Bears Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Stony Brook Seawolves vs Maine Black Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stony Brook Arena

Game Overview

The Stony Brook Seawolves host the Maine Black Bears in an early America East conference matchup. Both teams have started the season 1-0 (Stony Brook) and 0-1 (Maine), with Stony Brook displaying stronger recent form and home dominance. The total is set relatively low, reflecting expectations of a moderately paced, defensive battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stony Brook comes off a 66-59 home win and holds a 2-3 record over its last five games with a strong 4-1 ATS in that span. Maine lost their opener on the road by 20 points and struggles in day games against similar competition.
  • Stony Brook has dominated recent matchups, winning 9 of the last 10 meetings, including a close 74-72 win in their last encounter. Home advantage further favors Stony Brook who have won six consecutive America East games at Stony Brook Arena.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side influencing starting rotations or bench depth.
  • Stony Brook’s strong home-court advantage and Maine's recent difficulty in day games contribute to the home team's edge. Travel and morale factors favor Stony Brook as well.
  • Stony Brook is motivated to maintain home dominance and build early season momentum, while Maine seeks to rebound from a lopsided opening loss but may lack confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stony Brook -218, Maine +180 Stony Brook β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Stony Brook -5.5 -108, Maine +5.5 -112 Stony Brook -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 136.5 -112, Under 136.5 -108 Under 136.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stony Brook Seawolves -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 136.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 136.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stony Brook Seawolves to win outright, cover the -5.5 spread, and a game total under 136.5 points.

Predicted Score: Stony Brook 69 – Maine 62


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Fresno St Bulldogs vs. Long Beach St 49ers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs Long Beach St 49ers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

Fresno State Bulldogs host Long Beach State 49ers in an NCAA basketball matchup where Fresno State enters at 1-1 with recent struggles, while Long Beach State is 0-1 and struggling defensively. Fresno State shows eagerness to increase tempo despite poor recent form, facing a Long Beach team that ranked very low defensively last season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fresno State has a 1-1 record with a 0-1 recent five-game form and against the spread; Long Beach State is 0-1 overall and struggled with defense last year, ranking 329th in points per possession allowed compared to Fresno's 298th. Fresno State tends to play at a higher tempo (18th nationally last season).
  • Limited recent H2H data noted, no significant dominance by Long Beach State; Fresno State has historically performed moderately better at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups or rotations.
  • Game played at Fresno State's home venue, Save Mart Center, which gives Bulldogs a home-court advantage; public betting heavily favors Fresno State with 100% bets on them.
  • Fresno State motivated to rebound from recent losses and justify home favoritism; Long Beach State aims to recover defensively and avoid an 0-2 start on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno State Bulldogs: -298, Long Beach St 49ers: +240 Fresno State Bulldogs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5: -115, Long Beach St 49ers +6.5: -105 Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 143.5: -105, Under 143.5: -115 Under 143.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs 145%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 143.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Fresno St Bulldogs at 145% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State to win straight up (moneyline), cover the -6.5 spread, and the game total to go under 143.5 points.

Predicted Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 75 – Long Beach State 66


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Norfolk St Spartans vs. William & Mary Tribe Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Norfolk St Spartans vs William & Mary Tribe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Joseph G. Echols Memorial Hall, Norfolk

Game Overview

The Norfolk State Spartans host the William & Mary Tribe in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup featuring two unbeaten teams. Norfolk State has started 2-0 with dominant wins, while William & Mary is 1-0 coming off a high-margin victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Norfolk State has shown strong offensive and defensive capabilities, averaging 108.5 points per game while allowing 65.5. William & Mary also showed offensive firepower with 110 points in their only game but have less depth at this stage.
  • Historically, Norfolk State leads recent H2H meetings with three wins in the last four. William & Mary won the last encounter 84-73 but that was on a neutral site with different roster contexts.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of the game, suggesting both squads are at full strength.
  • The game is at Norfolk State’s home venue, giving them a substantial home-court advantage. Public betting heavily backs Norfolk State on the moneyline and spread.
  • Norfolk State appears motivated to maintain their unbeaten status in front of home crowd, building early-season momentum. William & Mary seeks to prove resilience after their opening win but are the underdogs on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Norfolk State -110, William & Mary -110 Norfolk State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Norfolk State -1.5 +105, William & Mary +1.5 -125 Norfolk State -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%
Over/under Over 155.5 -110, Under 155.5 -110 Under 155.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Norfolk St Spartans 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 155.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Norfolk State to cover the -1.5 spread in a moderately paced, relatively lower total scoring game than last year’s encounter.

Predicted Score: Norfolk State 79 – William & Mary 74


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Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Providence Friars Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Virginia Tech Hokies vs Providence Friars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Connecticut

Game Overview

The Virginia Tech Hokies face the Providence Friars in a closely matched Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off game. Both teams come off strong opening wins, with Virginia Tech showing dominant scoring and defense in their last game and Providence proving efficient at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Virginia Tech defeated Charleston Southern 98-67 with strong shooting (46.1% FG), rebounding (54-41), and defense forcing 15 turnovers. Providence won 89-79 against Holy Cross, showing solid offense but less defensive dominance.
  • No recent direct H2H data for this exact matchup in 2025 season, but both teams were confident 1-0 starters, making this an even contest.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of the game, both expected to start key players at full strength.
  • Game held at neutral site in Connecticut, neutralizing typical home court advantage effects. Both teams have momentum from opening wins.
  • Both teams motivated early in the season to establish dominance, Virginia Tech looking to extend their strong defensive performance, Providence aiming to capitalize on home-state-like environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Virginia Tech: -120, Providence: +100 Virginia Tech β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Virginia Tech -1.5: -105, Providence +1.5: -115 Virginia Tech -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 156.5: -104, Under 156.5: -118 Under 156.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Virginia Tech Hokies 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 156.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Virginia Tech Hokies to win straight up (moneyline)

Predicted Score: Virginia Tech 79 – Providence 74


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Stanford Cardinal vs. Montana Grizzlies Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Stanford Cardinal vs Montana Grizzlies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Maples Pavilion, Stanford, CA

Game Overview

Stanford Cardinal host Montana Grizzlies in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Stanford enters as heavy favorites, with Montana coming off a dominant win against a lower-tier opponent. Stanford’s recent offensive surge and home-court advantage contrast with Montana’s defensive efficiency and recent momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stanford is 1-0, averaging 89 points per game and showing strong offensive output, led by Ebuka Okorie’s 26-point performance. Montana is 2-0, averaging 89.5 points per game and allowing just 40 points per game, indicating elite defense against weaker competition.
  • Stanford won the last meeting 73-62, showing a clear edge in recent history. No other H2H data is available.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Stanford plays at home, where they are 1-0 this season. Montana is on the road, facing a much tougher opponent than in their previous games.
  • Stanford is motivated to build momentum early in the season and defend their home court. Montana seeks a signature win to boost their profile, but faces a steep challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -820, away: 550 Stanford Cardinal β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread home: -11.5, away: 11.5 Stanford Cardinal -11.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under over: 150.5, under: 150.5 Under 150.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stanford Cardinal -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 150.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stanford covers the spread and wins outright, but Montana keeps the game competitive enough to make the under a strong play.

Predicted Score: Stanford 78, Montana 70


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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. San JosΓ© St Spartans Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs San JosΓ© St Spartans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Thunderdome

Game Overview

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos host San JosΓ© St Spartans in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. The Gauchos enter with a 1-0 record and strong offensive rebounding, while the Spartans are 0-1 and struggled defensively in their opener.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCSB shot 47.1% from the field and grabbed 61 rebounds in their 98-67 win over San Francisco State. San JosΓ© State lost their opener and allowed 73.7 points per game last season, with poor defensive execution in their first game.
  • UCSB leads the recent series 4-1, including a 64-59 win last season. The Gauchos have covered the spread in their last three meetings.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • UCSB is at home, where they are 1-0 this season. The Thunderdome is a strong home venue for the Gauchos.
  • UCSB is motivated to build on their strong start, while San JosΓ© State seeks to rebound from a disappointing opener.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -410 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 79%
Spread -8.5 -115 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under 146.5 -105 Over 146.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 146.5 41%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total points line.

Predicted Score: San JosΓ© St 69 – 78 UC Santa Barbara


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UCF Knights vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Vanderbilt Commodores – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UCF Knights Home Court

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores enter as strong favorites based on recent dominant performance and stronger stats relative to the UCF Knights. Both teams are 1-0 this season, but Vanderbilt showed a high-scoring, efficient offense and solid defense in their opener, while UCF posted a narrower win in a lower-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderbilt won their season opener 105-61, displaying strong offense/defense balance, while UCF narrowly beat Hofstra 82-78, suggesting less offensive firepower and more defensive focus.
  • Recent direct matchups data are limited, but Vanderbilt holds the edge in recent form and has better historical strength in SEC vs Big 12 duels.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters or rotations for either team.
  • Game played at UCF's home venue, but Vanderbilt's experienced coaching and momentum likely neutralize home advantage.
  • Vanderbilt aims to extend a strong early season statement showing they can dominate, while UCF looks to prove resilience against a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UCF Knights: +275, Vanderbilt Commodores: -350 Vanderbilt Commodores β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread UCF Knights +7.5: -114, Vanderbilt Commodores -7.5: -106 Vanderbilt Commodores -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 166.5: -110, Under 166.5: -110 Under 166.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vanderbilt Commodores 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 166.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 166.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt Commodores to win outright on moneyline, cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to go under 166.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 82 – UCF 74


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UNC Greensboro Spartans vs. Elon Phoenix Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Elon Phoenix – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: First Horizon Coliseum, Greensboro

Game Overview

UNC Greensboro Spartans host Elon Phoenix in an early season NCAAB matchup, with UNC Greensboro favored as a home underdog bounce-back candidate and Elon entering on a strong recent form after a dominant season opener.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elon Phoenix are 1-0, coming off a convincing 99-51 win, showing strong offensive efficiency. UNC Greensboro Spartans are 0-1, recently losing 93-64 on the road and struggling offensively.
  • Historically, UNC Greensboro leads with 5 wins in the last 6 meetings, though Elon won the most recent matchup 73-69, indicating some competitive balance.
  • No major injuries reported for either team, both squads appear near full strength.
  • UNC Greensboro benefits from home-court advantage at First Horizon Coliseum. Elon travels but comes in with momentum from a big recent win.
  • UNC Greensboro motivated to improve after an opening loss at a tough venue and under public watch; Elon looking to build on early season confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -162, away: +136 UNC Greensboro Spartans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 UNC Greensboro Spartans -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Over 142.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UNC Greensboro Spartans 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 142.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 142.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take UNC Greensboro Spartans to cover the spread (-3.5) and win moneyline, expecting a moderately high scoring game over 142.5 points.

Predicted Score: UNC Greensboro 75 – Elon 69


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New Mexico Lobos vs. UT-Arlington Mavericks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs UT-Arlington Mavericks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Pit, Albuquerque, NM

Game Overview

The New Mexico Lobos host the UT-Arlington Mavericks in an early season NCAAB matchup. Both teams are 1-0, but New Mexico is heavy favorite at home with significant spread advantage and strong home performance history.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico is coming off a 76-54 home win with balanced scoring and strong defense, while UT-Arlington dominated weaker competition 91-40 but has historically struggled against top Mountain West teams.
  • New Mexico won the previous matchup by a close 82-80 score. The Lobos have a strong 12-game winning streak at home against non-ranked opponents.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team at this time.
  • The game is at New Mexico's home venue, The Pit, which historically gives the Lobos a significant edge.
  • New Mexico seeks to reinforce its Mountain West dominance early, while UT-Arlington looks to prove itself on the road after a big opening win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Mexico -850, UT-Arlington +575 New Mexico β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread New Mexico -12.5 (-115), UT-Arlington +12.5 (-105) New Mexico -12.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 149.5 (-110), Under 149.5 (-110) Under 149.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 149.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico to win straight up and cover the -12.5 spread while the total points fall under 149.5

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 77 – UT-Arlington Mavericks 62


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