Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Palmeiras – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Game Overview
The match features 4th place Mirassol hosting 1st place Palmeiras in Brasileirão Serie A, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and recent form favoring a close, competitive game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mirassol has strong home form with 6 wins in last 10 home matches and averages 2.7 goals per game. Palmeiras leads the league with strong away competitiveness and averages 3.4 goals per game but has lost 3 of their last 10 away matches.
- In their recent 8 meetings, Palmeiras have 5 wins, Mirassol 1 win, and 2 draws. The latest meeting ended 1-1, indicating a balanced competitive history.
- No significant injury reports impacting key players for either side available at this time.
- Mirassol enjoys home advantage and tends to dominate corners at home. Weather or pitch conditions have not been noted as a factor.
- Palmeiras aims to consolidate their top spot with a win, while Mirassol is highly motivated to close the points gap and secure a top 4 finish.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mirassol: 310, Palmeiras: -103, Draw: 234 | Palmeiras | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Mirassol +50: -117, Palmeiras -0.5: -103 | Palmeiras -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Over 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Palmeiras 14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win on the moneyline, Palmeiras -0.5 spread, and Over 2.25 total goals
Predicted Score: 1-2