Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Getafe – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Mallorca Son Moix
Game Overview
A La Liga clash between two struggling sides, with Mallorca sitting just above the relegation zone and Getafe seeking consistency. Both teams are under pressure to improve their league position.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mallorca are in poor form, sitting 17th with just 9 points from 11 games and coming off a heavy 3–0 loss to Real Madrid[5]. Getafe, while not much higher in the table, have shown slightly more resilience. Overall, neither side is in inspiring form, but Mallorca’s home advantage is offset by recent poor results[5].
- Recent H2H encounters have been closely contested, with neither side dominating. The low-scoring nature of these games is notable, with past matches often decided by a single goal or ending in draws.
- No major injury news reported for either squad, with predicted lineups both appearing close to full strength[1].
- No significant external factors (weather, crowd, suspensions) reported.
- Both teams are desperate for points to move away from the relegation zone. Mallorca, at home, may feel added pressure, while Getafe could play with slightly less pressure as the away side.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Getafe +235, Mallorca +145, Draw +188 | Getafe | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
| Spread | Getafe +25 -125 | Getafe +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 1.75 -118, Under 1.75 -102 | Under 1.75 | ★★★★☆ 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Getafe 34% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.75 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Getafe at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A tight, low-scoring game is expected, with Getafe holding a narrow edge thanks to marginally better form and psychological resilience, while Mallorca’s poor run lowers home confidence.
Predicted Score: Mallorca 0–1 Getafe