Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Udinese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Game Overview
AS Roma, playing at home, are in solid form with a strong winning record against Udinese. Udinese has mixed Serie A form with occasional away success, but Roma’s home dominance and current momentum favor the home side.
Key Factors to Consider
- Roma holds 21 points with strong home form including recent wins, while Udinese has 15 points and inconsistent away results. Roma won 4 of their last 5 matches, Udinese won 2 of last 5 with mixed form.
- Roma has dominated recent clashes, winning 31 of 44 historical meetings and 11 of the last 12 home games vs Udinese. Recent results show multiple 2-3 goal wins by Roma over Udinese.
- No major injury news reported affecting starting lineups for either team, suggesting near full-strength squads.
- Match played at Roma’s home stadium, providing usual home advantage. No weather or logistical issues reported.
- Roma aims to consolidate their higher league position and maintain home dominance, while Udinese targets an upset to improve their mid-table standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -176, away: 500, draw: 295 | AS Roma | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | AS Roma: -1 (102), Udinese: +1 (-122) | AS Roma -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over 2.25: -125, under 2.25: 105 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Roma to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0