Match Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Augsburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: MHP Arena, Stuttgart, Germany
Game Overview
VfB Stuttgart hosts Augsburg in a Bundesliga matchup where Stuttgart are strong favorites given their higher league standing, superior recent form, and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stuttgart are in good form with a 6-3 record and 4 consecutive home wins. Augsburg are struggling with a 2-6-1 record, recent back-to-back league losses, and significantly lower goal differential.
- Stuttgart have dominated the recent H2H meetings, winning 8 of the last 10 encounters, including strong home performances against Augsburg.
- Augsburg is missing forward Steve Mounie due to a heel injury which weakens their attack. Stuttgart have no major injury concerns reported.
- Stuttgart is coming off a solid Europa League home win and will be motivated to maintain momentum. Weather is mild, likely 22Β°, reducing any external impact on gameplay.
- Stuttgart sits 4th in the table and is motivated to consolidate their position and push for European places. Augsburg is 14th and under pressure to avoid relegation but shows poor recent form and squad limitations.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | VfB Stuttgart -190, Augsburg +460, Draw +350 | VfB Stuttgart | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | VfB Stuttgart -1 -115, Augsburg +1 -105 | VfB Stuttgart -1 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 3 -115, Under 3 -105 | Over 3 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | VfB Stuttgart -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
VfB Stuttgart to win outright, covering the -1 spread, with a moderately high scoring game over 3 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1