Match Analysis: Metz vs Nice – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saint Symphorien
Game Overview
Metz host Nice in a Ligue 1 clash with both teams in contrasting form. Metz have shown defensive solidity recently, winning back-to-back games without conceding, but remain poor at home. Nice are on a two-game winning streak and have dominated the H2H, winning the last three meetings without conceding a goal. The weather is overcast with no chance of rain, favoring neither side.
Key Factors to Consider
- Metz have won two straight Ligue 1 matches without conceding, but their home record is weak (W1, D2, L2). Nice are on a two-game winning streak and have kept clean sheets in their last two outings.
- Nice have won the last three meetings against Metz without conceding a goal. Metz's last win in this fixture was in 2021.
- No major injuries reported for either side.
- Weather is overcast, 49.5Β°F, with 0% chance of precipitation. No travel or crowd issues.
- Nice are fighting for a top-half finish, while Metz are battling to avoid relegation. Both teams have strong motivation, but Nice have more to gain from a win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 225, away: 109, draw: 260 | Nice | Not available |
| Spread | home: 100, away: -120 | Nice -0.25 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 2.75 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nice 21% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Nice at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nice to win outright. They have superior form, a dominant H2H record, and Metz's poor home record makes them vulnerable despite recent defensive solidity.
Predicted Score: Metz 0-2 Nice