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Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

Game Overview

Real Madrid travel to Rayo Vallecano in La Liga. Madrid are flying at the top of the table, boasting 10 wins in 11, while Rayo Vallecano sit 10th with 4 wins and 5 losses. The contrast in form and quality favors Real Madrid, but recent head-to-head results show Rayo can occasionally frustrate their wealthy neighbors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid are in dominant league form, leading La Liga with a goal difference of +16. Rayo Vallecano have been inconsistent, struggling for defensive solidity with a negative goal difference, though they have been competitive at home[3].
  • Real Madrid typically dominate this matchup, but Rayo Vallecano have occasionally secured draws in recent seasons, especially at home. However, Madrid have won most encounters decisively[1].
  • No major injury news from either side is referenced in the available data, but always check lineup confirmations closer to kickoff.
  • No significant external factors indicated (weather, travel, suspensions, etc.). The game is a local derby, which could add intensity but is unlikely to significantly disrupt Madrid's superiority.
  • Real Madrid are motivated to maintain their title charge; Rayo Vallecano will fight for pride and local bragging rights, but their realistic ambitions may be limited by the gap in quality.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano +500, Draw +390, Real Madrid -220 Real Madrid win ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Rayo Vallecano +1.25 -125, Real Madrid -1.25 +105 Real Madrid -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3 -108, Under 3 -112 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Madrid at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid should maintain their excellent league form and secure a comfortable win, though Rayo Vallecano's fighting spirit at home could keep the scoreline from getting out of hand.

Predicted Score: Real Madrid 3 – 1 Rayo Vallecano


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid Prediction

Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-09 Time: 3:15 PM UTC Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid Game Overview Real Madrid travel to Rayo Vallecano in La Liga. Madrid are flying at the top of the table, boasting 10 wins in 11, while Rayo Vallecano sit 10th with 4 wins […]

November 9, 2025 Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid Soccer

MORE FROM LA-LIGA

Athletic Bilbao vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Real Oviedo in a competitive La Liga match at San Mamés. Athletic Bilbao enters after two consecutive defeats including a 2-0 loss in the Champions League, while Oviedo drew scoreless at home in their last outing. Recent form favors Athletic despite recent setbacks, with Oviedo showing resilience but limited offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has lost its last two matches but generally performs strongly at home. Oviedo has shown defensive discipline with a 0-0 draw but lacks scoring consistency.
  • Over the last 19 meetings, Athletic Bilbao leads narrowly with 7 wins against Oviedo's 6, and 6 draws, reflecting a historically balanced rivalry.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team, maintaining squad stability.
  • No significant external factors; home advantage for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés is a notable edge.
  • Athletic Bilbao is motivated to bounce back after recent losses and maintain league standing, while Oviedo aims to secure points to avoid relegation threats.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -196, Oviedo: +675, Draw: +280 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Athletic Bilbao -1: -115, Oviedo +1: -105 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win on the moneyline; Athletic Bilbao -1 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Espanyol vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium, Barcelona

Game Overview

A closely contested La Liga fixture where Espanyol hosts Villarreal. Espanyol shows strong recent form and home advantage, while Villarreal has dominated H2H in recent years and holds a key psychological edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol are unbeaten in their last 3 matches and have covered the spread in 5 of their last 5 games, demonstrating strong recent form. Villarreal holds a 7-2-2 record for the season and averages higher goals scored per match compared to Espanyol.
  • Villarreal has won the last 5 consecutive H2H matches and unbeaten in 6 straight vs Espanyol. Espanyol's last win over Villarreal was in 2019/20. Villarreal averages 1.8 goals per meeting in the last 10 clashes, while Espanyol averages 1.1.
  • No major injuries reported for key players on either side, allowing both teams to field close to full strength.
  • Playing at RCDE Stadium gives Espanyol a notable home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
  • Both clubs are competing for European qualification spots, increasing the match's intensity. Espanyol is motivated to capitalize on home advantage, while Villarreal aims to maintain dominance in the rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +185 Espanyol ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread -128 Espanyol +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -108 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Espanyol 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Espanyol at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol moneyline winner

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Atlético Madrid vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid, strong home favorites, face Levante, who struggle defensively and have poor away form. Atlético show solid recent results and motivation to maintain league momentum, while Levante are under pressure to secure points but likely to face difficulties.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid are 6-1-4 on the season with 2-2 in last 5 matches; Levante hold a 2-6-3 record and have defensive weaknesses. Atlético have better form and home advantage.
  • Of last 10 matches, Atlético won 5, drew 3, Levante won 2. Recent home meetings favored Levante twice, but Copa del Rey last encounter saw Atlético win 2-0.
  • No major injuries reported for Atlético; Levante have some squad depth issues reducing defensive solidity.
  • Match held at Atlético’s home ground with strong fan support; no significant weather or travel issues affecting either team.
  • Atlético motivated to consolidate a top position; Levante need points to avoid relegation battles, adding pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -435, Levante: 1000, Draw: 550 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Atlético Madrid -1.75: -118, Levante +1.75: -102 Atlético Madrid -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: +105, Under 3.25: -125 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win outright on the moneyline with over 3 goals in the match

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Sevilla vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sevilla vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Game Overview

Sevilla host CA Osasuna in La Liga with Sevilla slightly favored at home; recent form shows Sevilla struggling with 3 consecutive losses and Osasuna on a moderate streak. The matchup historically tends to be low scoring and tight defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla have a poor recent form of 1 win in last 5 matches and 3 consecutive losses, including a 3-0 defeat by Atlético Madrid. Osasuna have a 3-6-2 season record and played a 0-0 draw in their last fixture.
  • In recent encounters, matches between these teams have been low scoring, with 5 of 6 meetings having 2 or fewer goals. Historically, Sevilla have a stronger overall record, especially winning more overall meetings, but Osasuna have a good home record in their direct clashes.
  • No significant injuries reported for key players in the available data, both teams expected to field close to full strength.
  • Home advantage for Sevilla with strong fan support at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, but current form limits confidence. Market and public betting heavily favor Sevilla with 91% bets on them despite poor form.
  • Sevilla motivated to bounce back after consecutive losses and perform well at home, Osasuna seeking to continue decent form and capitalize on Sevilla's slump.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: 116, Draw: 225, Osasuna: 255 Sevilla ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Sevilla (-0.25): -118, Osasuna (+25): -102 Sevilla -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sevilla 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sevilla at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla to win on the moneyline considering home advantage, superior squad quality, and motivation to rebound despite recent form.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Girona vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona hosts Deportivo Alavés in a closely matched La Liga contest where both teams have shown inconsistency but Alavés display better tactical organization. Girona are fighting to avoid relegation, while Alavés have demonstrated resilience away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona have a 1-3 record in their last five games, struggling for form, while Alavés have mixed results but show tactical coherence despite back-to-back away defeats recently. Girona's home form offers a slight advantage.
  • In eight top-flight encounters, Girona and Alavés are evenly matched with three wins each and two draws. Both teams won away fixtures last season, and their matches tend to be low scoring with an average below 2.75 goals per game.
  • No critical injury information has been reported to significantly impact either side for this fixture.
  • Home advantage favors Girona moderately given the venue and fan support. There are no notable adverse weather or scheduling issues.
  • Girona faces pressure to secure points to avoid relegation battles, increasing their motivation. Alavés looks to maintain their league status with pragmatic play, likely prioritizing defensive solidity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +146, away: +205, draw: +212 Draw ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Alavés +25: -130, Girona -0.25: +110 Alavés +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over 2.25: +105, under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Elche CF vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Game Overview

This La Liga matchup features mid-table rivals Elche CF and Real Sociedad at Elche's home ground. Both teams are close in points but have shown divergent form patterns, with Elche unbeaten at home so far in the season and Real Sociedad having a slight edge in recent head-to-head results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elche CF remains unbeaten at home this season, showing strong resilience. Real Sociedad has been slightly better overall but struggles to close against defensive teams. Both are close in the league with only a 2-point difference.
  • Real Sociedad has won the last 6 meetings, with an average scoring rate of 1.9 goals per game versus Elche's 0.3 in these encounters. The last Elche win against Real Sociedad at home was in 2014/15.
  • No major injury information is currently available that significantly impacts either side, suggesting both teams are near full strength.
  • Match is played at Elche's home stadium, where they have not lost this season. No notable external disruptions or extreme weather conditions reported.
  • Elche need to maintain their positive home form and recover from a recent defeat to Barcelona, adding motivation. Real Sociedad aims to maintain their winning streak in head-to-heads and keep pace or surpass Elche in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Elche CF +178, Real Sociedad +167, Draw +215 Elche CF ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Elche CF 0 -105, Real Sociedad 0 -115 Elche CF +0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -108, Under 2.25 -112 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Elche CF 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Elche CF win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Oviedo vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Oviedo vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-03
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Game Overview

La Liga matchup between Real Oviedo hosting CA Osasuna, both teams evenly matched with Osasuna having slightly better recent form and winning probability. Oviedo struggles at home recently while Osasuna shows better consistency on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oviedo has a poor recent home form (1-5-1 record in last 7 matches), showing offensive and defensive fragilities. Osasuna has a stronger overall record with about 39.5% win probability and better recent form.
  • Historically balanced with no dominant team in recent encounters; simulations show a close margin with probabilities: Osasuna ~39.5%, Oviedo ~31.5%, draw ~29%.
  • No significant injury updates reported that would heavily impact starting lineups for either side.
  • Playing at Oviedo’s home ground could favor home side slightly, but current form and motivation favor Osasuna.
  • Osasuna appears more motivated to secure an away victory to improve league standing, while Oviedo struggles to capitalize on home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +200, away: +157, draw: +200 Away (CA Osasuna) ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: +110, away: -130 Away (Osasuna) -0 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -122, under: +102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Osasuna win; Spread: Osasuna -0; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Real Betis vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Betis vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

Real Betis enters this La Liga matchup as the clear favorite, showing steadier recent form and stronger home performance compared to Mallorca, who are struggling comparatively in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Betis has 16 points with 4 wins including 3 at home, demonstrating consistent form. Mallorca has 9 points with 2 wins and weaker away performance, indicating inconsistency and underdog status.
  • Recent meetings favor Real Betis narrowly, with a 1-0 away win in the previous clash, affirming Betis's slight edge.
  • No major injury updates reported for either team impacting key players significantly for this match.
  • Match played at Real Betis's home ground, Estadio Benito Villamarín, offering a solid home advantage and familiar conditions for Betis.
  • Real Betis is motivated to maintain momentum in the league and capitalize at home, while Mallorca aims to improve their standing, but pressure and form limit their confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Betis -172, Draw +315, Mallorca +450 Real Betis ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Real Betis -1 +102, Mallorca +1 -122 Real Betis -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -115, Under 2.5 -105 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Betis to win the Moneyline, covering the -1 spread, and the match to finish Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Barcelona vs. Elche CF Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Elche CF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Camp Nou

Game Overview

Barcelona hosts Elche CF at Camp Nou in a La Liga fixture. Barcelona is favored to win, but Elche has shown resilience in recent away games. The match is expected to be competitive, with Barcelona's form not being dominant and Elche capable of earning a point.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has shown inconsistent form, lacking dominance in recent matches. Elche has demonstrated strong away performances, showing defensive discipline and the ability to compete against top sides.
  • Barcelona has historically dominated Elche, but recent encounters have been closer, with Elche often making it difficult for Barcelona.
  • No major injuries reported for either team, but Barcelona's squad depth and rotation could impact performance.
  • Barcelona's home advantage at Camp Nou is significant, but Elche's recent away form suggests they can handle pressure.
  • Barcelona is motivated to maintain their position in the league, while Elche is fighting to avoid relegation and will be highly motivated to secure points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -400, away: 1200, draw: 460 Elche CF ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -2, away: 2 Elche CF +2 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: 3.5, under: 3.5 Over 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona 615%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Barcelona at 615% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elche CF to win or draw

Predicted Score: 2-2


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